FNUS76 KLOX 221523
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR PICKENS-NORTH...LACOFD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
720 AM PST WED DEC 22 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0550 PST ON DECEMBER 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE RECENT BURN AREAS THROUGH THIS
EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THIS EVENING. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL BY 1800
PST THIS EVENING IS EXPECTED TO BE BETWEEN 0.75-1.25 INCHES ON THE
NORTH SLOPES TO 0.35-0.70 INCH IN THE ANTELOPE VALLEY. HIGHEST
SUSTAINED RAINFALL RATES ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO BE BETWEEN 0.25
AND 0.50 INCH PER HOUR. HOWEVER...RAINFALL RATES WITH ANY
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MORE INTENSE...WITH SHORT BURSTS OF UP TO 1 TO
2 INCHES PER HOUR. THE POTENTIAL FOR INTENSE RAINFALL RATES WILL
CONTINUE THE THREAT OF MUD AND DEBRIS FLOWS IN AND AROUND THE RECENT
BURN AREAS.

OVERNIGHT TONIGHT...THE SHOWERS WILL TAPER OFF WITH DRY CONDITIONS
EXPECTED ON THURSDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-55.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH 12-18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35
                    MPH.
LAL.................3.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH
                    THE NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-39.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE  EVENING.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST TO WEST 10-20 MPH.
LAL.................2.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-58.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST TO NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH.
 RIDGETOP...........NORTHWEST 6-12 MPH.
LAL.................0.

$$

FORECASTER...SIRARD
REQUESTED BY...T  MORELOCK -SITL
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20101222.PICKE.01/LOX