FNUS76 KLOX 220826
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR PICKINS INCIDENT...LA COUNTY FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
1226 AM PST WED DEC 22 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0007 PST ON DECEMBER 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE BURN AREAS THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...RAIN AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
THE AREA THROUGH THIS EVENING. BY THIS EVENING...RAINFALL TOTALS
BETWEEN 3 AND 4 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED. HOURLY RAINFALL RATES ARE
GENERALLY EXPECTED TO BE BETWEEN ONE QUARTER AND THREE QUARTERS OF
AN INCH. HOWEVER...RAINFALL RATES WITH THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MORE
INTENSE...RANGING AS HIGH AS 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR. THE POTENTIAL
FOR INTENSE RAINFALL RATES WILL CONTINUE THE THREAT OF MUD AND DEBRIS
FLOWS IN AND AROUND THE BURN AREA.

OVERNIGHT TONIGHT...THE SHOWERS WILL TAPER OFF WITH DRY CONDITIONS
EXPECTED ON THURSDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SHOWERS WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-58.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH
                    DECREASING TO 10-15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH 20-35 MPH WITH GUSTS 55 MPH.
LAL.................3.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........SHOWERS TAPERING OFF OVERNIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-52.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING VARIABLE 3-6 MPH.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 15-25 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................2.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-60.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......VARIABLE 3-6 MPH BECOMING UPSLOPE/UVPALLEY
                    5-10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST TO NORTHWEST 10-20 MPH.
LAL.................0.

$$
FORECASTER...THOMPSON
REQUESTED BY...T  MORELOCK
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20101222.PICKI.01/LOX