FNUS76 KLOX 221546
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR PICKINS - SOUTH...LACOFD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
745 AM PST WED DEC 22 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0620 PST ON DECEMBER 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE RECENT BURN AREAS THROUGH THIS
EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THIS EVENING. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL BY 1800
PST THIS EVENING IS EXPECTED TO BE BETWEEN 1.25-1.75 INCHES ON THE
SOUTH SLOPES TO 0.80-1.20 INCHES IN THE SAN GABRIEL VALLEY.
HIGHEST SUSTAINED RAINFALL RATES ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO BE
BETWEEN 0.30 AND 0.60 INCH PER HOUR. HOWEVER...RAINFALL RATES WITH
ANY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MORE INTENSE...WITH SHORT BURSTS OF UP TO
1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR. THE POTENTIAL FOR INTENSE RAINFALL RATES
WILL CONTINUE THE THREAT OF MUD AND DEBRIS FLOWS IN AND AROUND THE
RECENT BURN AREAS.

OVERNIGHT TONIGHT...THE SHOWERS WILL TAPER OFF WITH DRY CONDITIONS
EXPECTED ON THURSDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-58.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH 10-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH.
LAL.................3.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-50.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST 5-10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...
                    BECOMING VARIABLE 2-4 MPH OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST TO WEST 10-20 MPH.
LAL.................2.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-62.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......VARIABLE 2-4 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING SOUTH
                    5-10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........NORTHWEST 10-15 MPH IN THE MORNING THEN
                    VARIABLE 5-10 MPH.
LAL.................0.

$$

FORECASTER...SIRARD
REQUESTED BY...T  MORELOCK -SITL
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20101222.PICKI.02/LOX