FNUS75 KBOU 281800 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR GOLD LAKE...BOULDER COUNTY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 1100 AM MST TUE DEC 28 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...BURN AREA IS NEAR THE TOP OF AN INVERSION WITH WARM TEMPERATURES. WEST WINDS ALOFT WILL LIKELY MIX DOWN THIS AFTERNOON BRINGING WESTERLY SURFACE WINDS...THOUGH THE WINDS MAY BE SPORADIC. A LITTLE MORE WARMING IS NEEDED FOR BETTER DISPERSAL...BUT IT SHOULD BE IN THE FAIR CATEGORY AFTER 1200. THE NUMBERS IN THE TABLE AT THE BOTTOM ARE TOO COOL...THE FORECAST HAS WARMER TEMPERATURES AND BETTER DISPERSAL. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-44. MIN HUMIDITY........22-27%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 3-7 MPH UNTIL 1400...THEN WEST WINDS 8-14 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 MPH BECOMING WEST 20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL RISING TO 4000 FT AGL BY 1400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR...GOOD AFTER 1400. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR GOLD LAKE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 12/28-10 53 0 25 46 W 8 1 1198 W 13 13947 P 12/28-11 43 0 27 43 W 7 7 5 1 NW20 1572 W 14 18869 P 12/28-12 43 0 29 40 W 7 1 1737 W 16 24619 P 12/28-13 43 0 30 38 W 8 1 1901 W 18 30368 P 12/28-14 43 0 30 37 W 9 15 5 1 NW29 2066 W 20 36118 P 12/28-15 43 0 30 37 W 10 1 1761 W 21 31437 P 12/28-16 43 0 29 38 W 13 1 1456 W 22 26757 P 12/28-17 40 0 27 41 W 14 22 4 1 W26 1151 W 22 22076 P 12/28-18 40 0 26 41 W 15 1 1091 W 24 22831 P 12/28-19 40 0 25 42 W 15 1 1031 W 26 23586 P 12/28-20 40 0 24 41 W 15 24 3 1 W21 971 W 29 24340 P 12/28-21 40 0 23 41 W 15 1 921 W 30 24111 P 12/28-22 40 0 23 42 W 15 1 870 W 32 23882 P 12/28-23 55 0 22 43 W 16 25 3 1 W12 820 W 33 23654 P 12/29-00 55 0 21 46 W 17 1 707 W 33 20267 P 12/29-01 55 0 21 49 W 20 1 595 W 32 16880 P 12/29-02 55 0 20 54 W 21 33 3 1 W12 482 W 32 13493 P 12/29-03 55 0 20 58 W 21 1 430 W 31 11550 P 12/29-04 55 0 20 63 W 21 1 377 W 29 9606 P 12/29-05 68 1 19 67 W 22 35 3 1 W20 325 W 28 7663 P 12/29-06 68 1 19 70 W 24 1 346 W 28 8231 P 12/29-07 68 1 18 73 W 26 1 368 W 28 8799 P 12/29-08 68 1 20 68 W 29 46 2 1 W23 390 W 28 9367 P 12/29-09 68 1 23 60 W 24 1 1015 W 24 17022 P 12/29-10 68 1 28 50 W 18 1 1641 W 21 24678 P 12/29-11 74 10 31 46 W 15 23 2 1 SW38 2267 W 16 32334 P 12/29-12 74 10 33 42 W 16 1 2740 SW 23 59221 F 12/29-13 74 10 34 44 W 21 1 3213 SW 29 86109 G 12/29-14 74 10 30 51 W 24 37 2 1 SW44 3686 SW 36 112996 V 12/29-15 74 10 29 56 W 25 1 2988 SW 36 91809 G 12/29-16 74 10 24 70 W 25 1 2290 W 36 70622 G 12/29-17 61 18 22 77 W 25 38 2 1 SW40 1592 W 36 49435 F 12/29-18 61 18 20 85 W 24 1 1218 W 33 36828 P 12/29-19 61 18 19 90 W 22 1 845 W 31 24221 P 12/29-20 61 18 18 93 W 20 30 2 1 SW33 471 W 29 11613 P 12/29-21 61 18 17 97 W 17 1 435 W 25 9676 P 12/29-22 61 18 17 96 W 14 1 400 W 22 7739 P 12/29-23 88 18 17 95 W 12 17 2 1 SW32 364 W 18 5802 P 12/30-00 88 18 17 93 W 9 1 378 W 16 5420 P 12/30-01 88 18 17 91 W 8 1 392 W 15 5037 P 12/30-02 88 18 17 88 W 7 7 2 1 SW21 407 W 13 4655 P 12/30-03 88 18 17 86 NW 6 1 393 W 12 4094 P 12/30-04 88 18 17 84 NW 5 1 379 W 10 3534 P 12/30-05 92 69 18 82 NW 5 5 2 1 SW30 366 W 9 2973 P 12/30-06 92 69 18 81 NW 5 1 393 W 7 2307 P 12/30-07 92 69 17 84 N 5 1 420 NW 5 1640 P 12/30-08 92 69 17 85 N 6 6 3 1 SW29 447 NW 2 974 P 12/30-09 92 69 17 87 NE 6 1 533 N 3 1847 P 12/30-10 92 69 17 87 E 7 1 619 NE 5 2719 P 12/30-11 100 70 17 85 E 8 8 3 1 S31 705 E 6 3592 P 12/30-12 100 70 16 83 E 9 1 645 E 8 4201 P 12/30-13 100 70 16 81 NE 10 1 586 E 10 4810 P 12/30-14 100 70 15 79 NE 12 17 3 1 S38 526 NE 12 5419 P 12/30-15 100 70 14 77 NE 12 1 825 E 12 7641 P 12/30-16 100 70 13 76 NE 10 1 1125 E 10 9862 P 12/30-17 100 69 12 76 E 9 14 3 1 S43 1424 E 9 12083 P 12/30-18 100 69 11 77 NE 8 1 1798 E 10 17216 P 12/30-19 100 69 10 79 NE 8 1 2173 SE 12 22348 P 12/30-20 100 69 9 80 NE 7 7 2 1 S47 2547 SE 13 27481 P 12/30-21 100 69 8 80 N 6 1 2446 SE 10 23393 P 12/30-22 100 69 7 81 N 6 1 2346 S 9 19306 P 12/30-23 100 69 5 82 N 5 5 2 1 S32 2246 S 8 15219 P 12/31-00 98 69 4 85 N 3 1 2168 S 8 14831 P 12/31-01 96 69 2 88 N 3 1 2090 SW 8 14442 P 12/31-02 94 69 1 91 N 2 2 2 1 S 7 2013 W 8 14054 P 12/31-03 91 69 0 94 NW 2 1 1826 W 8 13136 P 12/31-04 89 69 -1 99 NW 2 1 1639 W 9 12218 P 12/31-05 87 23 -2 100 NW 2 2 2 1 S 6 1453 W 9 11301 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...GIMMESTAD REQUESTED BY...JAY STALNACKER FMO REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20101228.GOLDL.01/BOU