FNUS72 KTAE 051325
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR BURN UNIT 22...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
825 AM EST WED JAN 5 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1025 EST ON JANUARY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.AT (850)942-8835

.DISCUSSION...
OVERCAST SKIES WITH RAIN SPREADING OVER THE BURN SITE WILL BE EXPECTED
AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ADVANCES EAST OVER THE GULF COAST STATES.
A FEW THUNDERTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING.
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AS THE LOW
PULLS AWAY. SHOWERS WILL END WITH THE FRONTS PASSAGE AND A
COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS WILL BEGIN TO ARRIVE FROM THE NORTHWEST.
DESPITE THE DRIER AIR...HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S WILL PREVENT
REACHING CRITICAL VALUES OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY ON THURSDAY.
SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES BY FRIDAY MAY ALLOW A FEW LOCATIONS
TO FLIRT WITH CRITICAL RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OVER NORTH
FLORIDA...HOWEVER RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN
                    THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    THROUGH THE DAY. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 12 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
CWR.................90 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 13 MPH.

TIME (EST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM
SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............53     56     59     61     58     53
RH..............82     81     80     81     92     100
20 FT WIND......SE 10  S 12   S 9    S 6    S 7    SW 7
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     10     15     15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS IN
                    THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    THROUGH THE NIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.
CWR.................90 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 MAINLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 13 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 17 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...GIBBS
REQUESTED BY...DAVID QUISENBERRY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110105.BURNU.01/TAE