FNUS72 KTAE 060927
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR JACKSON GUARD...EGLIN AFB JACKSON GUARD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
427 AM EST THU JAN 6 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0730 CST ON JANUARY 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE AT (850)942-8835

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT HAS PASSED SOUTH OF THE REGION EARLY THIS MORNING
WITH A SOMEWHAT COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS ARRIVING FROM THE NORTH.
DESPITE THE DRIER AIR...COOL TEMPERATURES WILL PREVENT CRITICAL
VALUES OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY FROM BEING REACHED TODAY. SURFACE AND
TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE MODERATE OUT OF THE NORTHWEST TODAY...AND
THEN COME AROUND MODERATE TO STRONG FROM THE WEST DURING FRIDAY.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL APPROACH 35 PERCENT BRIEFLY DURING FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...AND ALONG WITH HIGH DISPERSION INDICES...CONDITIONS
WILL BE CLOSE TO RED FLAG CRITERIA.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY EARLY...BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 11 MPH INCREASING TO 10
                    TO 14 MPH WITH A FEW HIGHER GUSTS.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-900 FT AGL EARLY INCREASING TO AROUND 4000
                    FT AGL BY MID AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 14 TO 17 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....AROUND 65.

TIME (CST)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............45     49     51     54     57     53
RH..............88     69     60     49     43     50
20 FT WIND......NW 7   NW 10  NW 12  NW 13  NW 14  W 9
20 FT WIND GUST.13     15     15     18     18     15
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 12  NW 14  NW 15  NW 15  NW 14  NW 12

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO AROUND 400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....AROUND 6.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 11 MPH EARLY INCREASING
                    TO AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO AROUND 4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20
                    BY AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....AROUND 80.

$$
FORECASTER...MROCZKA
REQUESTED BY...MARLENE HOLLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110106.JACKS.01/TAE