FNUS72 KILM 071702
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR RMS BRUNSWICK...NC FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1202 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1230 EST ON JANUARY 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS SOUTHERN NORTH CAROLINA
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING...THEN OFFSHORE AROUND
MIDNIGHT...DRAGGING A STRONG COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA. THE
FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL KEEP WINDS UP ENOUGH TO MAINTAIN GOOD SMOKE
DISPERSION THROUGH MIDNIGHT...BUT A LOW-LEVEL INVERSION WILL SET
UP TOWARD DAYBREAK SATURDAY. CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
SOUTH INTO THE AREA THIS WEEKEND.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 TO 22 MPH.

TIME (EST)          NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............52     62     74
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................46     50     50
RH..................59     46     48
20 FT WIND..........W 9    W 10   SW 9
20 FT WIND GUST.....20     20     20

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF RAIN EARLY IN THE EVENING. A CHANCE OF RAIN
                    LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.
MAX HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 22 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 7 MPH.

TIME (EST)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............77     79     84     71     55     22
WEATHER COV.........       S CHC  CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   NONE   NONE
TEMP................48     47     46     45     42     40
RH..................54     60     63     67     69     71
20 FT WIND..........SW 9   SW 10  SW 12  W 11   W 10   W 7
20 FT WIND GUST.....20     20     25     25     20     15

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 MPH...INCREASING TO 26 TO 30 MPH.

TIME (EST)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............14     28     24     21     19     18
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................36     36     39     44     46     46
RH..................74     70     61     50     46     46
20 FT WIND..........W 6    W 8    W 10   W 11   W 11   W 10
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     15     20     20     20     20

$$
FORECASTER...STEVE
REQUESTED BY...MIKE HARDISON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110107.RMSBR.01/ILM