FNUS72 KILM 071659
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR WELLS ROPERTY...NC FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1159 AM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EST ON JANUARY 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS SOUTHERN NORTH CAROLINA
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING...THEN OFFSHORE AROUND
MIDNIGHT...DRAGGING A STRONG COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA. THE
FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL KEEP WINDS UP ENOUGH TO MAINTAIN GOOD SMOKE
DISPERSION THROUGH MIDNIGHT...BUT A LOW-LEVEL INVERSION WILL SET
UP TOWARD DAYBREAK SATURDAY. CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
SOUTH INTO THE AREA THIS WEEKEND.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST TO SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16 TO 20 MPH.

TIME (EST)          NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............54     64     73
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................45     49     48
RH..................58     45     47
20 FT WIND..........W 7    W 8    W 8
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     20     15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF RAIN EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF
                    RAIN EARLY IN THE EVENING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.
MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-4100 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 800 FT OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 17 TO 18 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 5 MPH.

TIME (EST)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............87     92     94     77     63     37
WEATHER COV.........S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   NONE
TEMP................46     44     43     40     38     36
RH..................55     62     67     75     79     77
20 FT WIND..........SW 6   SW 7   SW 8   W 8    W 8    W 6
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     15     20     20     15     15

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 6200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 7 MPH...INCREASING TO 25 TO 31 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (EST)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............24     32     30     27     26     23
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................35     35     39     43     45     45
RH..................76     69     57     47     42     42
20 FT WIND..........W 5    W 6    W 8    W 10   W 10   W 10
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     15     15     15     20     15

$$
FORECASTER...STEVE
REQUESTED BY...MIKE HARDISON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110107.WELLS.01/ILM