FNUS72 KTAE 071405
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR BURN UNIT 73...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
905 AM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON JANUARY 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.AT (850)942-8835

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...THE DRY AIR MASS WHICH IS CURRENTLY IN PLACE ACROSS
THE REGION WILL BE REINFORCED FOR THE WEEKEND AS A DRY COLD FRONT
CROSSES THE REGION TONIGHT. FOR THIS AFTERNOON...THE COMBINATION OF
HIGH PRESSURE ADVANCING ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO AND LOW PRESSURE
ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC REGION WILL GENERATE MODERATE AND GUSTY
WEST WINDS. THIS WILL LEAD TO HIGH DISPERSIONS WHICH WILL COMBINE
WITH JUST ENOUGH LOW HUMIDITY TO GENERATE RED FLAG CONDITIONS IN
THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE NORTH OF I-10. WEST WINDS
WILL DECREASE SOMEWHAT ON SATURDAY BUT BEHIND THE COLD FRONT...
EVEN DRIER AIR WILL ADVANCE ACROSS THE LOCAL REGION. THUS A MORE
WIDESPREAD EVENT WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO
SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF PRECIPITATION.
FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE NORTHERN MOST
COUNTIES OF OUR ALABAMA AND GEORGIA FORECAST AREA. IN ITS WAKE..A
COLDER AND DRIER AIR MASS WILL MOVE IN WITH WEDNESDAY AND MORE
LIKELY THURSDAY BEING THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RED FLAG CONCERNS.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASING TO 14 TO 18 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING
                    AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 TO 22 MPH.
DISPERSION..........75 TO 80 THIS AFTERNOON.

TIME (EST)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM   9 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............52     60     62     58     54     51
RH..............51     41     40     50     62     67
20 FT WIND......W 12   SW 15  W 16   W 15   SW 10  W 8
20 FT WIND GUST.15     20     24     20     15     15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 300-500 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION..........AROUND 4.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO AROUND 3000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION..........AROUND 60.

$$
FORECASTER...CAMP
REQUESTED BY...DAVID QUISENBERRY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110107.BURNU.02/TAE