FNUS72 KJAX 081156 FWSJAX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEP CREEK...USDA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 656 AM EST SAT JAN 8 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EST ON JANUARY 08. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EST THIS EVENING DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RH VALUES... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT SUNDAY AFTERNOON DUE TO LOW RH VALUES... .DISCUSSION... A COLDER AND DRIER AIRMASS WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE TODAY ON BREEZY WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW AT 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 TO 30 MPH AT TIMES AND THIS WILL COMBINE ONCE AGAIN WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 30 TO 35 PERCENT FOR RED FLAG CONDITIONS ACROSS NORTHEAST FLORIDA ALONG WITH A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT FOR SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. THE LINGERING DRY AIRMASS OVER THE REGION WILL BE PUSHED INLAND TO THE I-75 CORRIDOR AND SUWANNEE RIVER VALLEY AS A MORE MOIST ATLANTIC FLOW DEVELOPS ON SUNDAY. ENOUGH DRY AIR WILL BE IN PLACE TO ALLOW FOR MARGINAL RED FLAG CONDITIONS OVER INLAND NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT. NORTHEAST WINDS AT 10 TO 15 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH GUSTY CONDITIONS ALONG THE ATLANTIC COASTAL AREAS. A LOW MOVING OUT OF THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL TRACK ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH RAIN LIKELY ACROSS THE REGION ON MONDAY. A LINGERING CHANCE OF SHOWERS IS POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY BEFORE A COLDER AND DRIER AIRMASS WILL RETURN FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AND THE POSSIBILITY OF RED FLAG CONDITIONS EACH AFTERNOON. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59. MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........WEST TO NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....64. TIME (EST) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........36 22 22 8 6 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............44 50 56 58 58 RH..............81 57 39 32 31 20 FT WIND......NW 7 NW 10 W 15 W 17 W 16 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 25 25 25 MIX HGT (FT)....800 2000 2000 3500 1900 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 9 NW 17 NW 17 W 24 W 20 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 27. MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-800 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. DISPERSION INDEX....4. TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........6 4 11 11 18 26 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............48 40 36 33 31 29 RH..............47 63 73 75 75 73 20 FT WIND......W 9 NW 6 NW 7 NW 6 N 6 N 7 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....1900 800 400 400 400 500 TRANSPORT WIND..W 20 NW 12 NW 9 NW 9 N 8 N 10 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54. MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2100-2600 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........EAST 15 TO 20 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....38. $$ FORECASTER...HESS REQUESTED BY...PETE MYERS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110108.DEEPC.01/JAX