FNUS75 KBOU 111537 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SUGARLOAF 151...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 830 AM MST TUE JAN 11 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...THE GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS WILL DECREASE THIS AFTERNOON. DESPITE THE GUSTY WINDS...STRONG MID LEVEL WARMING WILL RESULT IN MODERATE STABILITY WITH ONLY FAIR SMOKE DISPERSAL THROUGH TONIGHT. THERE WILL ALSO BE SOME INCREASE IN MIDDLE AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS THIS AFTERNOON WITH A SLIGHT MODERATION IN TEMPERATURES. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY UNTIL 1100...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). PATCHY BLOWING SNOW UNTIL 1100. MAX TEMPERATURE.....19-21. MIN HUMIDITY........36%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 8-15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1500. POOR AFTER 1700. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....3. MAX HUMIDITY........65%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10-16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....26. MIN HUMIDITY........44%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 12-18 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1300...THEN 1000-1400 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1800. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600... THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1800. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SUGARLOAF 151. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 01/11-08 10 0 5 53 W 15 24 3 1 NW82 2018 W 40 70678 G 01/11-09 10 0 7 51 W 14 1 2132 W 37 68570 G 01/11-10 10 0 9 49 W 13 1 2247 W 35 66461 G 01/11-11 41 0 11 46 W 12 18 2 1 NW89 2362 W 31 64353 G 01/11-12 41 0 12 44 W 10 1 2284 W 33 65792 G 01/11-13 41 0 13 43 W 10 1 2206 W 36 67231 G 01/11-14 41 0 14 42 W 9 15 3 1 NW89 2128 W 37 68670 G 01/11-15 41 0 14 43 W 9 1 1785 W 36 55765 F 01/11-16 41 0 13 45 W 8 1 1442 W 33 42860 F 01/11-17 40 0 11 49 W 8 13 3 1 NW64 1099 W 31 29955 P 01/11-18 40 0 10 49 W 8 1 901 W 26 22432 P 01/11-19 40 0 9 49 W 8 1 703 W 22 14910 P 01/11-20 40 0 8 48 W 8 13 3 1 NW68 505 W 17 7388 P 01/11-21 40 0 7 51 W 8 1 401 W 15 5507 P 01/11-22 40 0 6 55 W 8 1 296 W 13 3626 P 01/11-23 40 0 6 58 W 8 13 3 1 NW60 192 W 10 1745 P 01/12-00 40 0 5 59 W 8 1 174 W 10 1564 P 01/12-01 40 0 5 60 W 7 1 156 W 10 1382 P 01/12-02 40 0 4 59 W 8 13 3 1 NW47 138 W 10 1200 P 01/12-03 40 0 4 57 W 10 1 146 W 13 1572 P 01/12-04 40 0 4 55 W 14 1 155 W 14 1944 P 01/12-05 54 2 7 46 W 16 25 3 1 NW36 163 W 16 2316 P 01/12-06 54 2 8 47 W 16 1 150 W 16 2051 P 01/12-07 54 2 6 53 W 15 1 137 W 15 1785 P 01/12-08 54 2 7 53 W 14 22 2 1 NW25 124 W 14 1520 P 01/12-09 54 2 10 56 W 12 1 201 W 13 2105 P 01/12-10 54 2 14 56 W 9 1 277 W 12 2690 P 01/12-11 54 2 18 55 W 8 8 2 1 NW15 354 W 10 3275 P 01/12-12 54 2 26 44 W 8 1 702 W 14 10061 P 01/12-13 54 2 25 47 W 9 1 1050 W 16 16848 P 01/12-14 54 2 26 47 W 10 10 2 1 W16 1398 W 20 23634 P 01/12-15 54 2 25 49 W 13 1 1168 W 21 20170 P 01/12-16 54 2 24 51 W 14 1 937 W 21 16705 P 01/12-17 53 2 23 53 W 16 23 2 1 NW23 707 W 22 13240 P 01/12-18 53 2 23 56 W 17 1 736 W 22 14350 P 01/12-19 53 2 22 58 W 18 1 765 W 23 15460 P 01/12-20 53 2 23 59 W 20 28 2 1 NW33 794 W 24 16570 P 01/12-21 53 2 23 59 W 21 1 812 W 25 18149 P 01/12-22 53 2 23 59 W 22 1 829 W 28 19727 P 01/12-23 53 2 22 60 W 22 31 2 1 NW32 846 W 29 21305 P 01/13-00 53 2 22 60 W 21 1 819 W 29 20147 P 01/13-01 53 2 21 63 W 21 1 792 W 28 18989 P 01/13-02 53 2 22 58 W 20 28 2 1 NW41 764 W 26 17831 P 01/13-03 53 2 23 55 W 20 1 821 W 28 20142 P 01/13-04 53 2 22 55 W 21 1 878 W 29 22452 P 01/13-05 60 4 23 54 W 22 31 2 1 NW44 934 W 31 24763 P 01/13-06 60 4 23 58 W 23 1 890 W 29 22269 P 01/13-07 60 4 22 68 W 23 1 845 NW 26 19774 P 01/13-08 60 4 23 75 W 23 32 2 1 NW47 800 NW 25 17280 P 01/13-09 60 4 24 78 W 22 1 929 W 23 18086 P 01/13-10 60 4 26 77 W 21 1 1059 W 21 18893 P 01/13-11 60 4 28 74 W 20 28 2 1 NW40 1188 W 20 19700 P 01/13-12 60 4 32 63 W 18 1 1403 W 18 21883 P 01/13-13 60 4 31 62 W 17 1 1619 NW 17 24066 P 01/13-14 60 4 32 59 W 16 23 2 1 NW29 1834 NW 16 26249 P 01/13-15 60 4 31 59 W 16 1 1685 NW 16 24245 P 01/13-16 60 4 30 63 W 17 1 1537 W 16 22241 P 01/13-17 63 12 28 68 W 17 24 2 1 NW23 1388 W 17 20237 P 01/13-18 63 12 27 73 W 17 1 1398 W 16 19750 P 01/13-19 63 12 27 77 W 16 1 1408 W 16 19263 P 01/13-20 63 12 27 78 W 16 23 2 1 W29 1418 W 15 18777 P 01/13-21 63 12 28 77 W 16 1 1390 W 16 19088 P 01/13-22 63 12 28 75 W 16 1 1362 W 16 19399 P 01/13-23 63 12 27 76 W 16 23 2 1 NW26 1334 W 17 19711 P 01/14-00 63 12 27 76 W 16 1 1395 W 18 21865 P 01/14-01 63 12 25 84 W 16 1 1456 W 18 24020 P 01/14-02 63 12 26 79 W 17 24 2 1 W25 1517 W 20 26174 P 01/14-03 63 12 27 78 W 17 1 1894 W 23 39071 P 01/14-04 63 12 26 80 W 16 1 2271 W 25 51967 F 01/14-05 80 16 27 79 W 16 23 2 1 NW28 2647 W 29 64863 G KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/ENTREKIN REQUESTED BY...CHAD BUSER REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110111.SUGAR.01/BOU