FNUS76 KSTO 111339
FWSSTO

SPOT FORECAST FOR OLD GULCH...STANISLAUS NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
539 AM PST TUE JAN 11 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PST ON JANUARY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE BURN AREA LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH
A GREATEST PROBABILITY OF RAIN OCCURRING THIS EVENING. ONLY A FEW
SPRINKLES MAY EXIST AT IGNITION WHILE MORE STEADY LIGHT RAIN
SHOULD OCCUR BY THIS EVENING. ONLY EXPECT A LIGHT WETTING RAIN
THROUGH TONIGHT AS THE TOTAL ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED TO BE LESS
THAN TWO-TENTHS (0.20) OF AN INCH. THE SYSTEM IS WEAKENING, SO
WINDS WILL NOT BE STRONG.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE MORNING
            WITH AN INCREASING CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-47.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT AT IGNITION, THEN INCREASING.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 1 TO 3 MPH AT IGNITION INCREASING
    3 TO 6 MPH WITH TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTHEAST 4 TO 7 MPH AT IGNITION INCREASING TO 7
    TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT AT IGNITION INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT
    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LES THAN 500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. LIGHT RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN ONLY A
    CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-36.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 1 TO 3 MPH.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTHEAST 7 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................80 PERCENT DECREASING TO 40 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000-2000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-54.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 1 TO 2 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTHEAST 3 TO 6 MPH BECOMING VARIABLE UP TO 3 MPH
    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-4000 FT AGL IN THE
    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........VARIABLE UP TO 3 MPH.


FORECASTER...JCLAPP
REQUESTED BY...SHANNON COWEN
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110111.OLDGU.01/STO

$$