FNUS75 KBOU 121554 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR BASSAM...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 854 AM MST WED JAN 12 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL INCREASE TODAY AS A WEATHER DISTURBANCE PASSES TO THE SOUTH OF THE STATE. WARMING ALOFT WILL INHIBIT SMOKE DISPERSAL TODAY ALLOWING ONLY FAIR CONDITIONS BRIEFLY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE WARMING ALOFT WILL ALSO LET MAX TEMPERATURES REACH INTO THE LOW 30S TODAY WITH LIGHT WESTERLY WINDS EXPECTED. A FEW WAVE CLOUDS WILL BE AROUND TODAY BUT SHOULD STAY EAST OF THE BURN SITE. INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS TONIGHT WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES WARMER THAN PREVIOUS NIGHTS. COULD SEE SOME GUSTY NORTHWESTERLY WINDS EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AS DOWNSLOPE CONDITIONS WILL BE OCCURING...GUSTS SHOULD STAY BELOW 15 MPH. EXPECT SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES FOR THURSDAY. SMOKE DISPERSAL IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN POOR THROUGH FRIDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....33. MIN HUMIDITY........36%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST 5-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 2600-3600 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1400...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1500...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....14. MAX HUMIDITY........69%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6-7 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 0900...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....38. MIN HUMIDITY........37%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 6-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 2000-3000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1300...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1600...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR BASSAM. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 01/12-08 38 0 12 100 SW 2 2 2 1 W35 84 W 2 158 P 01/12-09 38 0 13 83 SW 2 1 269 W 2 824 P 01/12-10 38 0 16 66 SW 2 1 454 W 3 1490 P 01/12-11 38 0 21 54 SW 3 3 2 1 NW29 639 W 3 2156 P 01/12-12 38 0 27 44 SW 5 1 1952 W 7 19262 P 01/12-13 38 0 31 38 SW 5 1 3264 W 10 36368 P 01/12-14 38 0 33 36 SW 6 8 3 1 NW37 4577 W 14 53474 F 01/12-15 38 0 32 37 SW 7 1 3362 W 14 39151 P 01/12-16 38 0 30 40 SW 7 1 2146 W 13 24828 P 01/12-17 49 0 27 45 SW 7 8 3 1 NW38 931 W 13 10505 P 01/12-18 49 0 25 48 SW 6 1 770 W 12 8167 P 01/12-19 49 0 23 53 W 6 1 608 W 10 5829 P 01/12-20 49 0 21 55 W 5 5 2 1 NW35 447 W 9 3492 P 01/12-21 49 0 20 58 W 3 1 395 W 8 2865 P 01/12-22 49 0 18 61 W 2 1 342 W 7 2238 P 01/12-23 49 0 17 62 W 2 2 2 1 NW36 290 W 7 1611 P 01/13-00 49 0 16 65 W 2 1 264 W 6 1444 P 01/13-01 49 0 16 64 SW 2 1 238 W 6 1277 P 01/13-02 49 0 15 65 SW 2 2 2 1 NW33 213 W 6 1110 P 01/13-03 49 0 16 60 CALM 1 212 W 6 1051 P 01/13-04 49 0 15 61 CALM 1 210 W 6 991 P 01/13-05 18 1 15 63 CALM 1 2 1 NW36 209 NW 5 932 P 01/13-06 21 1 14 66 W 5 1 210 NW 7 1282 P 01/13-07 24 1 14 69 NW 7 1 211 NW 9 1632 P 01/13-08 27 1 16 65 NW 9 16 2 1 NW44 212 NW 10 1983 P 01/13-09 30 1 21 57 NW 9 1 778 NW 12 7647 P 01/13-10 33 1 27 49 NW 9 1 1215 NW 12 11848 P 01/13-11 36 2 31 45 NW 8 14 2 1 NW49 1652 NW 12 16048 P 01/13-12 38 2 33 42 W 7 1 2243 NW 14 28427 P 01/13-13 39 2 36 38 SW 6 1 2833 NW 16 40806 F 01/13-14 40 2 36 37 SW 5 5 2 1 NW44 3424 NW 18 53185 F 01/13-15 42 2 36 37 SW 5 1 2988 NW 16 43915 F 01/13-16 43 2 35 39 W 6 1 2552 NW 15 34645 P 01/13-17 44 2 33 44 W 6 6 2 1 NW41 2116 NW 14 25374 P 01/13-18 47 2 31 48 W 6 1 1787 NW 13 20133 P 01/13-19 49 2 29 52 W 6 1 1458 W 12 14893 P 01/13-20 51 2 28 55 W 6 6 2 1 NW37 1128 W 10 9652 P 01/13-21 54 2 26 58 W 6 1 1003 W 9 8319 P 01/13-22 56 2 25 62 NW 5 1 878 W 9 6985 P 01/13-23 58 4 24 64 NW 5 5 2 1 W45 752 W 9 5652 P 01/14-00 61 4 23 66 NW 5 1 642 W 9 4944 P 01/14-01 63 4 23 67 NW 6 1 532 W 9 4235 P 01/14-02 65 4 23 68 NW 7 7 2 1 W48 421 W 9 3526 P 01/14-03 64 4 22 68 NW 8 1 438 W 10 4062 P 01/14-04 64 4 21 68 NW 9 1 455 NW 12 4598 P 01/14-05 72 4 21 68 NW 10 16 2 1 W32 472 NW 13 5134 P 01/14-06 70 4 21 67 NW 10 1 546 NW 14 6386 P 01/14-07 69 4 21 66 NW 10 1 620 NW 14 7637 P 01/14-08 67 4 22 63 NW 9 14 2 1 W16 693 NW 15 8889 P 01/14-09 66 4 24 61 NW 8 1 1249 NW 15 15908 P 01/14-10 64 4 26 60 NW 7 1 1805 N 15 22928 P 01/14-11 63 5 28 58 NW 7 7 2 1 NW16 2360 N 15 29947 P 01/14-12 56 5 30 55 NW 7 1 2354 N 13 26888 P 01/14-13 50 5 31 52 NW 8 1 2347 N 12 23830 P 01/14-14 44 5 31 50 NW 9 14 2 1 N26 2341 N 10 20771 P 01/14-15 37 5 31 50 NW 10 1 1731 N 12 15801 P 01/14-16 31 5 30 51 NW 10 1 1122 NW 13 10830 P 01/14-17 25 7 28 55 NW 12 17 2 1 N35 512 NW 13 5860 P 01/14-18 26 7 26 59 NW 12 1 546 NW 13 5934 P 01/14-19 26 7 25 62 NW 12 1 581 NW 12 6008 P 01/14-20 27 7 24 64 NW 12 17 2 1 N32 615 NW 12 6082 P 01/14-21 28 7 23 65 NW 12 1 536 NW 10 5150 P 01/14-22 29 7 22 66 NW 10 1 457 NW 10 4218 P 01/14-23 29 7 22 66 NW 10 16 2 1 N18 378 NW 10 3286 P 01/15-00 33 7 21 68 NW 10 1 346 NW 10 3024 P 01/15-01 36 7 21 70 NW 10 1 314 NW 10 2763 P 01/15-02 39 7 21 71 NW 10 16 2 1 NW22 282 NW 10 2502 P 01/15-03 42 7 20 70 NW 10 1 264 NW 10 2377 P 01/15-04 46 7 19 69 NW 10 1 245 W 10 2253 P 01/15-05 49 7 19 68 NW 10 16 2 1 NW31 227 W 10 2128 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...BEN INGRAM REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110112.BASSA.01/BOU