FNUS75 KBOU 122029 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR FLATTOP DRIFT SAR...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 129 PM MST WED JAN 12 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...WESTERLY WINDS WILL BE INCREASING THROUGH THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON AND THROUGH TONIGHT AS WELL. SOME GUSTS COULD POSSIBLY REACH UP TO 50 MPH BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND SUNRISE WHEN WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE THE STRONGEST. LOW TEMPERATURES WILL NOT BE AS COLD AS THE LAST PREVIOUS TWO NIGHTS...BUT WILL STILL GET BELOW FREEZING. THESE TEMPERATURES WILL COMBINE WITH THE WINDS TO PRODUCE WIND CHILLS AROUND ZERO DEGREES. OROGRAPHIC CLOUDS WITH A FEW FLURRIES THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND NIGHT COULD SPILL OVER THE RIDGES TO OBSCURE THE RESCUE SITE AT TIMES. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1700...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1700. MAX TEMPERATURE.....27. MIN HUMIDITY........22%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 9-14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0500. MIN TEMPERATURE.....20. MAX HUMIDITY........58%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 12-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 24-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1700. MAX TEMPERATURE.....32. MIN HUMIDITY........37%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 12-20 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 28-32 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 16-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS AROUND 30. WEST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600... THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR FLATTOP DRIFT SAR. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 01/12-13 48 7 27 35 W 9 1 1926 W 21 34148 P 01/12-14 48 7 27 36 SW 9 15 2 1 NW43 2038 W 22 38888 P 01/12-15 48 7 27 37 W 10 1 2046 W 22 38350 P 01/12-16 48 7 26 38 W 12 1 2053 W 21 37812 P 01/12-17 60 10 25 41 W 13 21 2 1 NW45 2061 W 21 37274 P 01/12-18 60 10 24 42 W 13 1 2005 W 23 40186 F 01/12-19 60 10 24 43 W 13 1 1949 W 25 43097 F 01/12-20 60 10 24 43 W 13 21 2 1 NW54 1894 W 28 46009 F 01/12-21 60 10 24 42 W 13 1 1826 W 29 44976 F 01/12-22 60 10 24 42 W 14 1 1757 W 29 43942 F 01/12-23 57 10 24 44 W 14 22 2 1 NW53 1689 W 29 42908 F 01/13-00 57 10 22 49 W 14 1 1602 W 30 41160 F 01/13-01 57 10 22 52 W 15 1 1516 W 30 39412 P 01/13-02 57 10 20 58 W 15 24 2 1 NW41 1429 W 30 37665 P 01/13-03 57 10 21 55 W 16 1 1426 W 31 39025 P 01/13-04 57 10 20 54 W 17 1 1423 W 32 40386 F 01/13-05 64 8 20 52 W 17 28 2 1 NW40 1420 W 33 41747 F 01/13-06 64 8 20 52 W 17 1 1341 W 32 37582 P 01/13-07 64 8 20 52 W 16 1 1261 W 30 33416 P 01/13-08 64 8 22 51 W 16 25 2 1 NW46 1181 W 29 29251 P 01/13-09 64 8 24 50 W 16 1 1617 W 28 38496 P 01/13-10 64 8 27 49 W 15 1 2052 W 28 47742 F 01/13-11 70 8 29 48 W 15 24 2 1 NW49 2487 W 26 56987 F 01/13-12 70 8 30 44 W 15 1 2561 W 23 50651 F 01/13-13 70 8 31 39 W 15 1 2636 W 20 44315 F 01/13-14 70 8 32 37 W 15 24 2 1 NW41 2710 W 16 37978 P 01/13-15 70 8 31 38 W 14 1 2734 W 17 41401 F 01/13-16 70 8 31 42 W 14 1 2759 W 18 44824 F 01/13-17 75 40 31 46 W 13 20 2 1 NW44 2553 W 24 54066 F 01/13-18 75 40 30 48 W 13 1 2289 W 24 47421 F 01/13-19 74 40 30 50 W 12 1 2024 W 23 40777 F 01/13-20 74 40 30 50 W 12 17 2 1 W40 1759 W 22 34132 P 01/13-21 73 40 30 51 W 12 1 1564 W 21 28923 P 01/13-22 73 40 30 52 W 12 1 1370 W 20 23715 P 01/13-23 73 50 30 53 W 13 20 2 1 W46 1175 W 18 18507 P 01/14-00 75 50 28 55 W 14 1 1396 W 22 27226 P 01/14-01 78 50 28 57 W 14 1 1617 W 24 35946 P 01/14-02 80 50 28 60 W 15 23 2 1 W47 1839 W 28 44666 F 01/14-03 82 50 28 61 W 16 1 1921 W 29 48792 F 01/14-04 85 50 27 61 W 17 1 2003 W 30 52918 F 01/14-05 87 46 27 61 W 17 26 2 1 W35 2085 W 31 57045 F 01/14-06 87 46 26 59 W 16 1 2037 NW 29 50247 F 01/14-07 86 46 26 57 W 15 1 1988 NW 25 43450 F 01/14-08 86 46 26 55 W 14 21 3 1 N22 1940 NW 22 36653 P 01/14-09 85 46 26 56 W 13 1 2216 NW 20 35476 P 01/14-10 85 46 28 57 W 12 1 2492 NW 16 34299 P 01/14-11 84 32 29 58 W 10 16 2 1 N33 2768 NW 14 33122 P 01/14-12 80 32 29 54 W 10 1 3263 NW 15 41521 F 01/14-13 76 32 30 50 W 10 1 3757 NW 15 49921 F 01/14-14 72 32 30 47 W 12 17 2 1 N36 4252 NW 16 58321 F 01/14-15 67 32 30 47 W 13 1 3639 NW 16 50211 F 01/14-16 63 32 29 49 W 13 1 3027 NW 16 42102 F 01/14-17 59 18 29 54 W 14 21 2 1 N36 2415 NW 16 33992 P 01/14-18 57 18 28 56 W 14 1 2131 W 15 28179 P 01/14-19 55 18 27 58 W 14 1 1847 W 14 22365 P 01/14-20 54 18 27 59 W 14 21 2 1 N28 1563 W 13 16552 P 01/14-21 52 18 27 59 W 14 1 1437 W 12 15066 P 01/14-22 50 18 27 58 W 13 1 1312 W 12 13580 P 01/14-23 49 12 27 58 W 13 20 2 1 NW24 1187 W 12 12094 P 01/15-00 53 12 25 60 W 13 1 1187 W 13 13122 P 01/15-01 57 12 25 63 W 14 1 1187 W 14 14149 P 01/15-02 61 12 25 65 W 14 21 2 1 W32 1188 W 15 15176 P 01/15-03 66 12 25 65 W 14 1 1199 W 16 17097 P 01/15-04 70 12 24 65 W 15 1 1210 W 18 19017 P 01/15-05 74 34 23 66 W 15 23 2 1 W37 1222 W 20 20938 P 01/15-06 71 34 22 68 W 15 1 01/15-07 68 34 23 70 W 15 1 01/15-08 66 34 23 69 W 15 23 1 01/15-09 63 34 23 69 W 15 1 01/15-10 60 34 26 68 W 14 1 01/15-11 57 37 28 65 W 14 21 1 01/15-12 59 37 30 62 W 14 1 01/15-13 61 37 32 58 W 15 1 01/15-14 63 37 32 56 W 15 23 1 01/15-15 64 37 32 54 W 15 1 01/15-16 66 37 31 53 W 15 1 01/15-17 68 30 30 54 W 15 23 1 KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...CRAIG BROUWER REASON FOR REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20110112.FLATT.01/BOU