FNUS72 KMFL 161255 FWSMFL SPOT FORECAST FOR 2 Y O UNIT...SEMINOLE TRIBE FIRE RESCUE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 755 AM EST SUN JAN 16 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON JANUARY 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WEAK HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED NORTH OF THE REGION WILL SLOWLY SHIFT EAST TODAY. THIS WILL KEEP THE BURN SITE IN A LIGHT EAST FLOW WITH FAIR MAX AFTERNOON DISPERSION VALUES. CLOSER TO THE LAKE DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE GENERALLY GOOD. TODAY WILL REMAIN DRY, HOWEVER LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP IN THE GULF THIS EVENING AND MOVE TOWARD NORTH FLORIDA MONDAY, AND THIS WILL INCREASE RAIN CHANCES FOR MONDAY. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 73. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 48 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-3000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 10 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....15 INCREASING TO 40 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 23 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. LVORI...............2. TIME (EST) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM 7 PM 9 PM SKY (%).........20 20 20 20 40 40 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............67 71 72 70 64 61 RH..............54 49 48 53 67 75 20 FT WIND......E 3 E 5 E 5 E 4 E 2 E 2 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 10 10 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND..E 3 E 5 E 5 E 4 E 2 E 2 EYE LEVEL WIND..5 10 10 10 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....2100 3000 3000 2700 1500 1500 MIXNG WIND......E 6 E 10 E 10 E 7 E 5 E 5 DISPERSION IDX..15 40 40 23 2 2 LVORI...........2 1 1 2 3 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 20 20 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 57. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 96 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 1 TO 7 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....23 DECREASING TO 2. LVORI...............5. .MARTIN LUTHER KING JR DAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 77. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 64 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 7 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 7 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT. LAL.................1 UNTIL 0700...THEN 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 1 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 13 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 38. LVORI...............6. $$ FORECASTER...TINGLER REQUESTED BY...K YEATES TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED