FNUS74 KFWD 171344
FWSFWD

SPOT FORECAST FOR ALEXANDER...NRCS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
744 AM CST MON JAN 17 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON JANUARY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
IN RESPONSE TO A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WEST OF THE AREA...SOUTHERLY
WINDS HAVE ALREADY ESTABLISHED ACROSS THE BURN AREA. AS THIS LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM CONTINUES TO DEVELOP...THE SURFACE WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE
SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON AND SPEEDS WILL INCREASE TO 10-15 MPH. THE
SOUTHWEST WIND WILL BRING DRIER AIR INTO STEPHENS COUNTY AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
WILL DROP INTO THE LOWER 30S THIS AFTERNOON. THE SUN IS EXPECTED TO FINALLY SHOW
TODAY AND TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON WILL REACH AROUND 68 DEGREES. WIND SPEEDS
WILL DROP OFF AGAIN THIS EVENING AND SHIFT TO THE WEST AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING
COLD FRONT. THE COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH ABOUT 9-10 PM CST TONIGHT. WIND
SPEEDS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL REMAIN AROUND 5 MPH OVERNIGHT...INCREASING TO AROUND
10 MPH ON TUESDAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ON TUESDAY WILL DROP INTO THE MID 30S.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG IN THE
                    MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........50 AT IGNITION...MAX 67.
RH..................68 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........90     85     54     36
WEATHER COV.....AREAS
WEATHER TYPE....FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............50     59     66     67
RH..............68     55     37     32
20 FT WIND......S 5    S 7    SW 9   SW 7
20 FT WIND GUST.       10     20     10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 38.
RH..................MAX 82 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........31     31     31     31     32     34
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............64     55     48     44     42     40
RH..............34     47     60     68     70     76
20 FT WIND......NW 4   NW 3   NW 3   NW 3   NW 3   NW 4
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      5      5      5

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 60.
RH..................MIN 36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........37     36     35     34     28     21
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............39     40     45     55     59     59
RH..............79     79     68     47     39     37
20 FT WIND......NW 3   N 4    N 5    N 5    N 5    N 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5                    10

$$
FORECASTER...JLDUNN
REQUESTED BY...ANTONIO L BAEZA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110117.ALEXA.03/FWD