FNUS75 KBOU 191224 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SUGARLOAF 151...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 514 AM MST WED JAN 19 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL SPREAD SNOW ACROSS THE BURN AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING BEFORE DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT. SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL BE 2 TO 5 INCHES. COLDER TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH HIGHER HUMIDITY LEVELS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1200...THEN SNOW LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....35. MIN HUMIDITY........67%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 13-19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN NORTH 6-11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 36 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTHWEST 20-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY UNTIL 2300...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0500. MIN TEMPERATURE.....9. MAX HUMIDITY........100%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5-6 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN WEST 7-13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8-12 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN 13-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4000 FT AGL UNTIL 2200...THEN 1400-2400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1900...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%) UNTIL 1100...THEN MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1700...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....20. MIN HUMIDITY........58%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 11-21 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE MORNING THEN 30 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 17-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-1800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS AROUND 30. WEST WINDS AROUND 23 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 0600. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SUGARLOAF 151. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 01/19-05 74 37 20 68 W 10 16 2 1 W49 1117 W 35 33083 P 01/19-06 74 37 20 69 W 10 1 1146 W 36 35105 P 01/19-07 74 37 20 73 W 13 1 1175 W 37 37127 P 01/19-08 91 41 21 75 W 15 24 2 1 W48 1205 W 37 39149 P 01/19-09 91 41 23 77 W 16 1 1688 W 37 52829 F 01/19-10 91 41 24 81 W 16 1 2172 W 36 66508 G 01/19-11 97 41 25 82 W 15 24 2 1 W26 2655 W 35 80188 G 01/19-12 97 62 26 80 W 14 1 3456 W 33 96304 G 01/19-13 97 62 27 77 W 12 1 4257 W 31 112421 V 01/19-14 97 62 27 74 W 9 15 2 1 W33 5059 W 29 128538 V 01/19-15 97 67 27 74 NW 7 1 4845 NW 24 105235 V 01/19-16 97 67 25 75 N 6 1 4631 NW 20 81932 G 01/19-17 100 70 22 83 NE 5 5 2 1 W44 4417 NW 15 58629 F 01/19-18 100 70 20 87 NE 5 1 4028 NW 14 48194 F 01/19-19 100 70 18 91 NE 6 1 3639 NW 12 37759 P 01/19-20 100 70 17 93 E 6 6 2 1 W33 3250 NW 9 27324 P 01/19-21 100 70 15 96 NE 5 1 2872 NW 10 26229 P 01/19-22 100 70 14 99 N 3 1 2494 NW 12 25134 P 01/19-23 90 20 13 100 NW 2 2 2 1 NW32 2116 NW 13 24038 P 01/20-00 90 20 12 100 NW 3 1 1841 NW 14 21683 P 01/20-01 90 20 11 99 W 6 1 1566 W 15 19328 P 01/20-02 67 20 11 97 W 8 13 2 1 NW41 1291 W 15 16973 P 01/20-03 67 20 11 96 W 9 1 1440 W 18 23619 P 01/20-04 67 20 10 95 W 10 1 1588 NW 22 30266 P 01/20-05 41 0 10 94 W 12 18 2 1 N44 1736 NW 24 36912 P 01/20-06 41 0 11 93 W 13 1 1704 NW 25 37285 P 01/20-07 41 0 11 94 W 13 1 1672 NW 26 37658 P 01/20-08 41 0 12 89 W 13 21 2 1 N45 1640 NW 26 38031 P 01/20-09 41 0 12 93 W 14 1 1395 NW 24 28769 P 01/20-10 41 0 14 86 W 14 1 1533 NW 23 30495 P 01/20-11 28 0 16 79 W 14 22 3 1 N52 1671 NW 22 32220 P 01/20-12 28 0 18 72 W 12 1 1588 NW 21 28405 P 01/20-13 28 0 19 66 W 10 1 1505 NW 18 24590 P 01/20-14 28 0 20 63 W 13 13 3 1 NW46 1422 NW 17 20774 P 01/20-15 28 0 20 60 W 15 1 1321 NW 21 22921 P 01/20-16 28 0 19 59 W 17 1 1220 W 24 25067 P 01/20-17 44 0 19 58 W 21 32 4 1 NW47 1119 W 28 27213 P 01/20-18 44 0 18 58 W 23 1 1033 W 30 26954 P 01/20-19 44 0 18 58 W 24 1 947 W 33 26694 P 01/20-20 44 0 17 59 W 26 43 3 1 NW53 862 W 36 26434 P 01/20-21 44 0 17 59 W 28 1 849 W 38 28078 P 01/20-22 44 0 17 58 W 29 1 836 W 41 29721 P 01/20-23 54 0 17 58 W 30 47 2 1 NW60 823 W 44 31365 P 01/21-00 54 0 18 57 W 30 1 877 W 45 34502 P 01/21-01 54 0 18 56 W 31 1 930 W 46 37639 P 01/21-02 54 0 18 55 W 31 49 2 1 NW53 983 W 47 40777 F 01/21-03 54 0 18 55 W 31 1 1000 W 47 40977 F 01/21-04 54 0 18 55 W 30 1 1017 W 47 41178 F 01/21-05 26 0 18 56 W 30 47 2 1 NW61 1033 W 46 41379 F 01/21-06 26 0 17 62 W 28 1 1019 W 43 37761 P 01/21-07 26 0 17 66 W 26 1 1004 W 39 34142 P 01/21-08 26 0 18 70 W 25 40 2 1 NW67 990 W 36 30524 P 01/21-09 26 0 20 70 W 24 1 1305 W 33 36820 P 01/21-10 26 0 22 68 W 23 1 1621 NW 31 43117 F 01/21-11 26 0 25 65 W 23 36 2 1 NW56 1936 NW 30 49413 F 01/21-12 26 0 26 63 W 21 1 2292 NW 31 62825 G 01/21-13 26 0 28 61 W 21 1 2647 NW 32 76236 G 01/21-14 26 0 28 60 W 21 33 2 1 NW62 3002 NW 35 89647 G 01/21-15 26 0 28 60 W 22 1 2795 NW 33 81423 G 01/21-16 26 0 28 60 W 22 1 2588 NW 32 73199 G 01/21-17 60 0 27 61 W 22 35 2 1 NW47 2381 NW 31 64975 G 01/21-18 60 0 26 63 W 21 1 2135 NW 29 54067 F 01/21-19 60 0 25 64 W 20 1 1889 W 25 43159 F 01/21-20 60 0 24 65 W 17 28 2 1 NW39 1643 W 23 32251 P 01/21-21 60 0 23 65 W 15 1 1538 W 22 29035 P 01/21-22 60 0 23 64 W 13 1 1432 W 21 25819 P 01/21-23 60 0 23 63 W 12 18 2 1 NW37 1327 W 20 22602 P 01/22-00 60 0 23 63 W 12 1 1372 W 23 27485 P 01/22-01 59 0 22 63 W 12 1 1416 W 26 32368 P 01/22-02 59 0 22 64 W 13 20 2 1 NW38 1461 W 30 37251 P 01/22-03 59 0 22 65 W 13 1 1398 W 30 35762 P 01/22-04 58 0 22 66 W 14 1 1335 W 30 34272 P 01/22-05 58 32 22 69 W 15 24 2 1 NW47 1273 W 30 32783 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/ENTREKIN REQUESTED BY...ED LEBLANC REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110119.SUGAR.01/BOU