FNUS74 KMAF 191511 FWSMAF SPOT FORECAST FOR FLOOD PLAIN RX...BITTER LAKE NWR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 911 AM CST WED JAN 19 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MST ON JANUARY 19. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 PM MST THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION... WESTERLY WINDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AS AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM MOVES OVER NEW MEXICO. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL COMBINE WITH DRY AIR OVER THE REGION AND RESULT IN RH/S AROUND 15% THIS AFTERNOON. SINCE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 20 MPH...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT...INCLUDING THE BURN SITE...FROM 11 AM TO 5 PM MST. ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL DECREASE THIS EVENING...A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT WITH NORTHERLY WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH SUSTAINED EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT. RECOVERY WILL BE FAIR MOST OF THE NIGHT...BUT GOOD TO EXCELLENT BEHIND THE FRONT. MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL PREVAIL THURSDAY...IN ADDITION TO MINIMUM RH/S GENERALLY ABOVE 25%. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75. MIN HUMIDITY........15 PCT. WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. TERRAIN DOMINATED UNDER 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 19 TO 24 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 (MODERATE). SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (17800 KNOT-FT). TIME (MST) 9 AM 1 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE TEMP............41 69 RH..............39 19 20 FT WIND DIR..SE S 20 FT WIND SPD..3 8 20 FT WIND GUST.5 16 MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 3000 TRANS WIND DIR..S SW TRANS WIND SPD..3 11 VENT CAT........POOR FAIR HAINES INDEX....5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30. MAX HUMIDITY........87 PCT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST TO NORTHWEST WIND 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 19 TO 24 MPH LATE. HAINES INDEX........4 (LOW). SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (100 KNOT-FT). TIME (MST) 5 PM 9 PM 1 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE TEMP............73 47 39 RH..............15 41 63 20 FT WIND DIR..SW W NW 20 FT WIND SPD..19 6 9 20 FT WIND GUST.27 12 15 MIX HGT (FT)....5000 BLW100 BLW100 TRANS WIND DIR..SW W NW TRANS WIND SPD..11 8 9 VENT CAT........FAIR POOR POOR HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46. MIN HUMIDITY........28 PCT. WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........2 (VERY LOW). SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (67300 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (MST) 5 AM 9 AM 1 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE TEMP............30 34 44 RH..............87 63 37 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N 20 FT WIND SPD..22 14 11 20 FT WIND GUST.33 20 MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 2500 4500 TRANS WIND DIR..N NE N TRANS WIND SPD..12 25 19 VENT CAT........POOR GOOD GOOD HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...LYSTER REQUESTED BY...JAKE NUTTALL TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110119.FLOOD.01/MAF