FNUS72 KTAE 191402
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR JACKSON GUARD...NATURAL RESOURCES EGLIN AFB
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
902 AM EST WED JAN 19 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CST ON JANUARY 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.AT (850)942-8835

.DISCUSSION...DESPITE THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT THIS MORNING...
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL REMAIN PLENTIFUL ACROSS THE REGION TODAY
THROUGH THURSDAY. ALSO...WE ARE EXPECTING LOWER THAN NORMAL DISPERSION
INDICES TODAY DUE TO LOW MIXING HEIGHTS AND LOW TRANSPORT WINDS.
A STRONGER FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY...USHERING IN A MUCH
DRIER AIR MASS. RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF
THE PANHANDLE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA
SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 7 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL THIS MORNING INCREASING TO 2400 FT AGL THIS
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION..........25.

TIME (CST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............57     56     58     59     57     51
RH..............66     68     59     54     61     74
20 FT WIND......N 6    N 7    N 7    N 6    N 5    N 3
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     10     10     10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION..........3.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 9 TO
                    10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION..........32.

$$

FORECASTER...BARRY
REQUESTED BY...MARLENE HOLLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110119.JACKS.01/TAE