FNUS72 KMFL 211143
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR J BAR BURN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
643 AM EST FRI JAN 21 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0940 EST ON JANUARY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
FOG IN THE AREA WILL MIX OUT AN HOUR OR TWO AFTER SUNRISE, HOWEVER
SHOWERS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AS THE MORNING PROGRESSES, AND
NUMEROUS SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED BY MID DAY. CURRENTLY A LINE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS STRETCHES FROM AROUND SARASOTA TO NEAR
SEBRING AND IS SLOWLY HEADING SOUTH WHILE INDIVIDUAL SHOWER MOVE
EAST. HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS MAY ACCOMPANY THESE STORMS.
DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE GENERALLY GOOD.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON. SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST 7 TO 9
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST 7 TO 9
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1000...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-3500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 12
                    TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....10 INCREASING TO 35 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 27 LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........80     80     80     80     80     70
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............67     74     77     77     74     65
RH..............85     71     64     60     76     97
20 FT WIND......N 4    N 4    W 6    W 6    W 5    NW 3
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     15     15     10     5
EYE LEVEL WIND..N 4    N 4    W 6    W 6    W 5    NW 3
EYE LEVEL WIND..10     10     15     15     10     5
MIX HGT (FT)....2400   2400   3500   3500   3000   1700
MIXNG WIND......N 12   N 12   W 15   W 15   W 12   W 13
DISPERSION IDX..31     31     38     38     27     8
CHC OF PCPN (%).60     60     60     60     60     30
LAL.............2      2      2      2      2      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 52.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 1
                    TO 2 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....5.
LVORI...............10.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 23 TO 24
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 69.
LVORI...............6.

$$
FORECASTER...TINGLER
REQUESTED BY...K YEATES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED

$$

REQUESTED BY...KEITH YEATES
REASON FOR REQUEST...STATE, TRIBAL OR LOCAL FIRE AGENCY WORKING IN COORDINATION WITH A
FEDERAL PARTICIPANT IN THE INTERAGENCY AGREEMENT FOR METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES.