FNUS72 KILM 221429
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR OLD DOCK...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
929 AM EST SAT JAN 22 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EST ON JANUARY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COASTAL LOW WILL TRACK OFFSHORE OF THE CAROLINAS TODAY. SNOW IS
EXPECTED TO ACCUMULATE EAST OF THE PRESCRIBED BURN TODAY WITH SNOW
FLURRIES ACROSS THE PRESCRIBED BURN AREA THIS AFTERNOON. FAIR AND
COOL CONDITIONS EXPECTED SUNDAY AS BRIEF HIGH PRESSURE PASSES
ACROSS THE REGION. ANOTHER COASTAL STORM IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT
THE CAROLINAS MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 11 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 13 TO 17 MPH.

TIME (EST)          NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............90     90     80
WEATHER COV.........S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........SNOW   SNOW   SNOW
TEMP................34     36     37
RH..................43     40     39
20 FT WIND..........N 9    N 8    N 6
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     15     10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 23.
MAX HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN
                    BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH.

TIME (EST)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............60     55     42     28     25     25
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................33     29     27     26     25     25
RH..................46     54     58     60     61     62
20 FT WIND..........N 5    N 4    N 3    N 3    N 3    NW 4
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     5      5      5      5      5

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3200-4100 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND 7
                    MPH LATE.

TIME (EST)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............25     10     19     27     31     35
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................24     25     36     42     47     46
RH..................64     58     37     30     28     33
20 FT WIND..........NW 5   NW 4   NW 2   NW 2   NW 2   W 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     5      5                    5

$$
FORECASTER...BACON/DIGIORGI
REQUESTED BY...ANGIE CARL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110122.OLDDO.01/ILM