FNUS74 KAMA 241558 AAA FWSAMA SPOT FORECAST FOR RANCHO PALO DURO TOBE SMITH FLAT RX...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX 958 AM CST MON JAN 24 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON JANUARY 24. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE BURN SITE BETWEEN 1000 CST AND 1200 CST. NORTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH BEHIND THE FRONT WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ISOLATED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING...BUT ANY PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LIGHT. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL RETURN TO THE BURN SITE ON TUESDAY ALONG WITH GENERALLY CLEAR SKIES AND NO PRECIPITATION EXPECTED. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43. MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 16 TO 21 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5000 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........WEST 9 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 13 TO 21 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO NORTHEAST 26 TO 32 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............34 40 43 41 RH..............52 41 38 43 20 FT WIND......N 9 N 16 NE 21 N 20 20 FT WIND GUST.10 20 30 25 HAINES INDEX....4 2 2 2 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 21. MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR NONE NONE NONE TEMP............37 31 28 26 24 23 RH..............50 66 78 88 92 92 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55. MIN HUMIDITY........21 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500-7000 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........WEST 8 TO 13 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............21 21 34 46 54 55 RH..............96 96 58 37 24 21 20 FT WIND......NW 8 NW 9 W 10 SW 12 W 12 SW 9 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 15 15 10 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...SCHNEIDER REQUESTED BY...CHRIS HARPER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110124.RANCH.02/AMA