FNUS72 KJAX 241518
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SATSUMA...DOF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1018 AM EST MON JAN 24 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON JANUARY 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SOME LINGERING DRY AIR MAY ALLOW RH VALUES TO DROP TO
AROUND 45 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON. EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL
SUSTAIN BELOW 10 MPH.

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE AREA ON TUESDAY BRINGING
INCREASING MOISTURE ALONG WITH SHOWERS AND SOME THUNDERSTORMS.

SUSTAINED WINDS WILL REMAIN LESS THAN 15 MPH THROUGH TUESDAY...
BUT MAY INCREASE TO NEAR 15 MPH TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH STRONGER
WINDS ON WEDNESDAY.

DRIER AIR WILL FILTER IN BEHIND THE FRONT LATE IN THE WEEK...WITH
RH VALUES NEAR OR JUST ABOVE RED FLAG CRITERIA INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100-4100 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 6 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....33.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........70     80     80     80
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............50     61     63     61
RH..............57     48     47     55
20 FT WIND......SE 6   SE 7   SE 7   E 7
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....2400   4100   4100   3100
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 7   SE 6   SE 6   E 7
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-3100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-600 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........80     72     72     72     74     74
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............58     53     51     49     48     47
RH..............64     79     84     89     93     98
20 FT WIND......E 7    E 7    E 6    E 5    E 3    E 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10            5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....3100   2100   1200   1200   300    600
TRANSPORT WIND..E 7    E 7    E 6    E 6    E 6    SE 5
LVORI...........6      6      6      6      6      6
DISPERSION INDX.M      M      M      M      M      M
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 13 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH INCREASING TO 28 TO 30
                    MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....69.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...ZAPPE
REQUESTED BY...STEPHEN MONTGOMERY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110124.SATSU.01/JAX