FNUS74 KAMA 251227 FWSAMA SPOT FORECAST FOR RANCHO PALO DURO TOBE SMITH FLAT RX...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY/USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX 627 AM CST TUE JAN 25 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON JANUARY 25. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS AT 10 TO 15 MPH WILL RETURN TO THE AREA TODAY AS A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE TROUGH DEVELOPS OVER EASTERN COLORADO AND NEW MEXICO. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL FALL JUST BELOW 20 PERCENT OVER THE WESTERN OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE...AND WESTERN AND SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE...HOWEVER THE LIGHTER WINDS WILL KEEP CONDITIONS BELOW ELEVATED LEVELS. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. NORTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 MPH BEHIND THE FRONT BUT MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN ABOVE 30 PERCENT ON WEDNESDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........39 AT IGNITION...MAX 53. RH..................37 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 17 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500-7000 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........WEST 7 TO 12 MPH. TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............32 39 45 49 52 53 53 50 RH..............49 37 27 22 18 17 17 19 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W SW 20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 8 9 9 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 23. RH..................MAX 71 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........MCR MCR PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............45 40 37 35 33 31 30 28 27 26 25 25 RH..............24 29 32 36 39 43 44 48 50 55 57 57 20 FT WIND DIR..SW S S S S SW SW W NW NW NW N 20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 6 6 6 6 6 7 8 9 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 15 15 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 51. RH..................MIN 29 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000-7000 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTH 8 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 13 TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 8 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............24 23 34 44 50 51 RH..............60 71 54 41 32 29 20 FT WIND......N 12 N 13 N 14 N 14 N 13 N 10 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 20 20 20 15 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...COCKRELL REQUESTED BY...CHRIS HARPER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110125.RANCH.01/AMA