FNUS74 KAMA 261258
FWSAMA

SPOT FORECAST FOR RANCHO PALO DURO TOBE SMITH FLAT RX...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY/USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
658 AM CST WED JAN 26 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON JANUARY 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT MOVED THROUGH THE PANHANDLES EARLY THIS MORNING...WITH
NORTHERLY WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT. THE WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE NORTH
TODAY BETWEEN 15 AND 20 MPH TODAY BUT DIMINISH DURING THE AFTERNOON.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL ONLY FALL TO NEAR 25 PERCENT THIS
AFTERNOON. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION
TODAY...BUT NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED. WINDS WILL RETURN TO MORE
OF A WESTERLY DIRECTION BY 9 PM THIS EVENING...BUT SPEEDS WILL REMAIN LESS
THAN 10 MPH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........40 AT IGNITION...MAX 53.
RH..................42 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 15 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    NORTH WINDS 8 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6500-7500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 12 TO 15 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 20.
RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 67.
RH..................MIN 10 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2000-3500 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5000-6500 FT
                    AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 4500
                    FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2500
                    FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 7 TO 16 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BEAL
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS HARPER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110126.RANCH.01/AMA