FNUS74 KAMA 261400 FWSAMA SPOT FORECAST FOR RANCHO PALO DURO TOBE SMITH FLAT RX...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY/USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX 800 AM CST WED JAN 26 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON JANUARY 26. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT MOVED THROUGH THE PANHANDLES EARLY THIS MORNING...WITH NORTHERLY WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT. THE WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE NORTH TODAY BETWEEN 15 AND 20 MPH TODAY BUT DIMINISH DURING THE AFTERNOON. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL ONLY FALL TO NEAR 25 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY...BUT NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED. WINDS WILL RETURN TO MORE OF A WESTERLY DIRECTION BY 9 PM THIS EVENING...BUT SPEEDS WILL REMAIN LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........40 AT IGNITION...MAX 53. RH..................42 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 27 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 15 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTH WINDS 8 TO 15 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6500-7500 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTH 12 TO 15 MPH. TIME (CST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............40 45 49 52 53 53 50 RH..............42 36 31 29 28 27 30 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD..15 15 14 14 13 10 8 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 20 15 10 HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 20. RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT. TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............44 39 35 33 31 29 27 26 25 24 23 22 RH..............36 43 51 55 57 60 63 66 69 73 76 76 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 67. RH..................MIN 10 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2000-3500 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5000-6500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 4500 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2500 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........WEST 7 TO 16 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............21 21 38 55 65 66 RH..............79 83 43 21 12 10 20 FT WIND......W 8 W 9 W 10 W 14 W 13 NW 10 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 20 20 15 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...BEAL REQUESTED BY...CHRIS HARPER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110126.RANCH.02/AMA