FNUS74 KAMA 271237 FWSAMA SPOT FORECAST FOR RANCHO PALO DURO DRY CREEK RX...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY/USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX 637 AM CST THU JAN 27 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON JANUARY 27. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE PANHANDLES TODAY. WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE WEST AND NORTHWEST TODAY...WITH SPEEDS GENERALLY BETWEEN 10 AND 15 MPH. AFTERNOON MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL BETWEEN 10 AND 20 PERCENT. LITTLE IN THE WAY OF CLOUD COVER ALONG WITH NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TODAY AT THE BURN SITE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........40 AT IGNITION...MAX 67. RH..................41 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 9 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 11 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 14 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 0-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-4000 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5500-7000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 7000-8000 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 5500 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 9 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 12 TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............40 48 55 61 65 67 67 64 RH..............41 28 21 15 11 9 10 11 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W NW NW NW W 20 FT WIND SPD..12 13 14 14 13 13 9 7 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 HAINES INDEX....5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 27. RH..................MAX 52 PERCENT. TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............56 50 46 43 40 38 36 34 33 31 30 29 RH..............14 19 23 28 30 32 34 36 39 41 43 45 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 73. RH..................MIN 8 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-5000 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5500-7000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 5000 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2500 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........WEST 7 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 17 TO 23 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO AROUND 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............28 28 45 61 71 72 RH..............47 50 28 16 10 9 20 FT WIND......W 10 W 10 W 10 W 13 SW 13 SW 12 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 20 20 15 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...BEAL REQUESTED BY...CHRIS HARPER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110127.RANCH.01/AMA