FNUS74 KFWD 300335
FWSFWD

SPOT FORECAST FOR BULLOCK FIRE...TEXAS FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
935 PM CST SAT JAN 29 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2106 CST ON JANUARY 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

IN GENERAL THROUGHOUT THE OVERNIGHT HOURS RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN ABOVE 50 PERCENT WHILE WINDS REMAIN AROUND 10 MPH OR LESS.
THE PRIMARY CONCERN REGARDING WEATHER AFFECTING THIS FIRE IS IF THE
FIRE CONTINUES TO BURN INTO THE MORNING HOURS ON SUNDAY THE SURFACE
WINDS WILL SHIFT AROUND FROM THE SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST TO THE NORTHWEST
AS A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVES THROUGH THE AREA.  THIS WIND SHIFT
IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR SOMETIME JUST AFTER SUNRISE AND IT WILL LIKELY
BE SOMEWHAT ABRUPT WHICH COULD LEAD TO SOME SHORT TERM CONTROL
ISSUES.  IN GENERAL THE EXPECTED WEATHER CONDITIONS SHOULD NOT
PROMOTE ERRATIC OR EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WHICH WILL HOPEFULLY MAKE
THE WILDFIRE EASIER TO CONTAIN TONIGHT.  ALTHOUGH THERE IS A CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION LISTED IN THE FORECAST, THE CURRENT PLACEMENT OF
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AROUND STEPHENVILLE INDICATES THAT
THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE VERY UNLIKELY TO AFFECT OR MOVE OVER THE
WILDFIRE.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH.

TIME (CST)      9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........59  56  53  50  50  49  49  44  39
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............58  56  54  53  52  51  50  48  47
RH..............57  62  69  71  71  71  74  77  79
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   5
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
EYE LVL WND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW
EYE LVL WND SPD.5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4
EYE LVL WND GST.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........35     29     25     20     18     17
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............47     47     49     54     56     55
RH..............76     71     63     50     45     45
20 FT WIND......SW 5   NW 4   NW 5   N 7    N 7    N 6
20 FT WIND GUST.       5      10     10     10     10
EYE LEVEL WIND..SW 4   NW 3   NW 4   N 5    N 5    N 4
EYE LVL WND GST.       5      10     10     10     10

$$
FORECASTER...CAVANAUGH
REQUESTED BY...CODY RATTAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110129.BULLO.02/FWD