FNUS75 KPUB 311535
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK MOUNTAIN PILES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
835 AM MST MON JAN 31 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM MST TUESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...

A BRUTALLY COLD ARCTIC AIRMASS IS MOVING INTO THE REGION AS I WRITE.
TEMPERATURES IN THE 20S AT 8 AM WILL FALL INTO THE TEENS BY LATE MORNING
WITH TEMPERATURES LIKELY INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS LATE IN THE DAY. SNOW
WILL BEGIN TO FALL BY LATE MORNING AND LAST THROUGH THE DAY AND INTO
TOMORROW.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 0800 UNTIL
                    1100...THEN SNOW.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MID 20S EARLY...FALLING INTO THE TEENS BY LATE MORNING
                    AND AFTERNOON.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........EAST AROUND 8 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 7 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN SOUTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....-4 TO 1F.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHEAST 3 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......EAST AROUND 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....8-13F.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHEAST 3 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......EAST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1300...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1600...THEN
                    POOR.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...HODANISH
REQUESTED BY...DENNIS PAGE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110131.BLACK.01/PUB