FNUS74 KEPZ 011527
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR RESERVE WUI...GNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
827 AM MST TUE FEB 1 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0830 MST ON FEBRUARY 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
STRONG ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO FROM THE
EAST TODAY...BUT WILL REMAIN WELL EAST OF THE GILA UNTIL FINALLY
PUSHING IN WEDNESDAY MORNING.  EXPECT WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS TO
INCREASE BY MIDDAY.  A FEW ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS MAY DEVELOP BY THE
AFTERNOON...BUT THE FOCUS WILL BE OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN TO THE
EAST.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-70 PERCENT). ISOLATED SNOW
                    SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........33 AT IGNITION...MAX 37.
RH..................71 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE BECOMING SOUTHWEST 12 TO 17 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 400-1200 FT
                    AGL INCREASING TO 5700-7500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 9 KNOTS INCREASING TO WEST 26 TO
                    27 KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION.........MAX 202,500 KNOT-FT (EXCELLENT)


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SNOW
                    SHOWERS.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 13.
RH..................MAX 64 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1100-1900 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 25 KNOTS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 9 TO 10
                    KNOTS IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED SNOW
                    SHOWERS.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 22.
RH..................MIN 38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH 7 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 KNOTS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 2
                    KNOTS LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO
                    THE EAST 4 TO 5 KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION.........20,000 KNOT-FEET AT PEAK MIXING (POOR)

$$

FORECASTER...HARDIMAN
REQUESTED BY...IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110201.RESER.01/EPZ