FNUS75 KPUB 021533
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR ALVARADO TANGLEWOOD PILES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
833 AM MST WED FEB 2 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL TRACK SOUTH ACROSS THE BURN
SITE THROUGH TOMORROW WITH VERY COLD TEMPERATURES AND LIGHT
SNOW. A DUSTING OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.
A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE IN FROM THE NORTH TOMORROW WITH WARMER
TEMPERATURES AND A SLIGHT INCREASE IN WIND FOR LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
THERE WILL ALSO BE ANOTHER CHANCE FOR LIGHT SNOWFALL AS THE
FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA.  SMOKE DISPERSALS WILL REMAIN POOR
TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH POOR TO FAIR DISPERSALS EXPECTED FOR
TOMORROW.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....-5 TO 0F.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........EAST 2 TO 4 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST 4 TO 8 MPH
                    AFTER 1100.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH UNTIL 1300...THEN
                    NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....-14 TO -9F.
MAX HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHEAST 2 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHEAST AROUND 11 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY UNTIL 1100...THEN PARTLY SUNNY(50
                    PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1100.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....15-20F.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHEAST 3 TO 6 MPH UNTIL 1100 INCREASING TO
                    7 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHEAST AROUND 22 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1300...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1600...THEN
                    POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...MOZLEY
REQUESTED BY...DENNIS PAGE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110202.ALVAR.01/PUB