FNUS72 KMFL 031951
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR BC-SC3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
251 PM EST THU FEB 3 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

FNUS72 KMFL 031946
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR BC-SC3...SEMINOLE TRIBE TFIRE RESCUE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
246 PM EST THU FEB 3 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1445 EST ON FEBRUARY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A MOSTLY SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH SURFACE FLOW WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THIS
PERIOD. THIS FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO ADVECT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE INTO THE
LOCAL AREA. THIS INCREASE IN MOISTURE...COMBINED WITH THE LIGHT TO
CALM WINDS...WILL LIKELY RESULT IN THE FORMATION OF FOG OVER AND
AROUND THE BURN SITE TONIGHT. ALTHOUGH MOST OF THE FOG IS EXPECTED
NOT TO BE DENSE IN NATURE...BRIEF PERIODS OF DENSE FOG COULD OCCUR.

NOTE: WE RECEIVED TWO REQUESTS, ONE FOR 1445 ON FEB 3 AND ONE FOR
1100 ON FEB 4. HOWEVER, THE FIRST ONE DID NOT SHOW UP ON THE WEB
PAGE. WILL LET NEXT FORECASTER KNOW THIS SO HE CAN ISSUE AN
UPDATE LATER ON.

.TODAY...

MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 3500-4000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....40 DECREASING TO 33 IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND
                    EVENING.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EST)      2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT
SKY (%).........60     60      40     40     40     40
WEATHER COV.....                            AREAS  AREAS
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   FOG    FOG
TEMP............81     78     76     73     69     66
RH..............64     70     76     86     100    100
20 FT WIND......SE 5   SE 5   SE 5   SE 4   E 3    E 3
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     5      5
EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 5   SE 5   SE 5   SE 4   E 3    E 3
EYE LEVEL WIND..10     10     10     10     5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....M      M      2400   2400   1400   1400
MIXNG WIND......M      M      SE 7   SE 7   E 6    E 6
DISPERSION IDX..M      M      3      3      2      2
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............M      M      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG IN THE LATE EVENING
                    AND OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 62.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 2 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
LVORI...............10.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-3500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-4000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 2 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 12
                    TO 14 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 36 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 49 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 39 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6.

$$
FORECASTER...GARCIA
REQUESTED BY...MARIA TALAMANTEZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED

$$

REQUESTED BY...MARIA TALAMANTEZ
REASON FOR REQUEST...STATE, TRIBAL OR LOCAL FIRE AGENCY WORKING IN COORDINATION WITH A
FEDERAL PARTICIPANT IN THE INTERAGENCY AGREEMENT FOR METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES.