FNUS75 KBOU 041233 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR RFB 16 18 20...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 519 AM MST FRI FEB 4 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL BE OVER THE AREA FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MOISTURE EMBEDDED IN THIS FLOW WILL KEEP A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY OVER THE FIRE AREA. THERE WILL ALSO BE PERIODS OF GUSTY DOWNSLOPE WINDS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1100...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1100...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....31. MIN HUMIDITY........41%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 14-20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1300...THEN 1000-1600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1900...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 0500. MIN TEMPERATURE.....24. MAX HUMIDITY........57%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 12-17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 17-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1400 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0400...THEN 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1100...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....37. MIN HUMIDITY........41%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 14-22 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 24-28 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTHWEST 32-40 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3200 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 3600-4600 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 1400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 0900...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1500...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 10. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. MUCH COLDER. LOWS AROUND 3. HIGHS AROUND 14. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR RFB 16 18 20. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 02/04-05 52 10 19 56 W 18 30 3 1 N37 183 W 15 2440 P 02/04-06 52 10 19 57 W 18 1 192 W 14 2367 P 02/04-07 52 10 20 56 W 17 1 200 W 14 2295 P 02/04-08 52 10 22 53 W 15 24 2 1 N39 209 W 13 2222 P 02/04-09 52 10 24 48 W 14 1 272 W 10 2293 P 02/04-10 52 10 26 43 W 12 1 336 W 9 2364 P 02/04-11 83 30 27 41 W 10 16 2 1 N35 399 NW 7 2435 P 02/04-12 83 30 29 41 W 9 1 700 NW 8 5094 P 02/04-13 83 30 30 43 W 8 1 1001 NW 8 7753 P 02/04-14 83 30 30 46 W 8 13 2 1 N35 1303 NW 9 10412 P 02/04-15 83 30 30 48 W 9 1 1391 NW 12 13744 P 02/04-16 83 30 30 50 W 10 1 1480 NW 13 17076 P 02/04-17 73 30 29 51 NW 12 18 2 1 N39 1568 NW 15 20408 P 02/04-18 73 30 28 53 NW 13 1 1326 NW 15 17147 P 02/04-19 73 16 27 54 NW 14 1 1084 NW 15 13886 P 02/04-20 73 16 27 54 NW 15 24 2 1 N38 842 NW 15 10625 P 02/04-21 73 16 26 55 NW 15 1 784 NW 16 10533 P 02/04-22 73 16 26 55 W 14 1 725 NW 17 10440 P 02/04-23 69 7 25 55 W 13 21 3 1 N38 667 NW 18 10348 P 02/05-00 69 7 25 54 W 13 1 697 NW 21 13007 P 02/05-01 69 7 25 54 W 14 1 727 NW 24 15667 P 02/05-02 69 7 25 53 W 14 22 3 1 NW22 757 NW 28 18327 P 02/05-03 69 7 24 54 W 14 1 831 NW 29 20789 P 02/05-04 69 7 24 55 W 14 1 906 W 30 23251 P 02/05-05 79 20 25 56 W 15 24 3 1 N28 980 W 30 25713 P 02/05-06 79 20 26 57 W 16 1 1230 W 30 32364 P 02/05-07 79 20 27 57 W 17 1 1480 W 30 39015 P 02/05-08 79 20 28 57 W 20 31 3 1 NW38 1730 W 30 45666 F 02/05-09 79 20 33 47 W 20 1 2711 W 23 61035 G 02/05-10 79 20 34 44 W 18 1 3812 NW 26 93789 G 02/05-11 79 36 36 41 W 18 30 3 1 NW37 4914 NW 30 126542 V 02/05-12 79 36 36 42 NW 17 1 5076 NW 35 151952 E 02/05-13 79 36 37 43 NW 17 1 5239 NW 39 177362 E 02/05-14 79 36 37 44 NW 16 25 2 1 NW24 5402 NW 44 202771 E 02/05-15 79 36 36 47 NW 16 1 4089 NW 39 148010 V 02/05-16 79 36 34 53 NW 16 1 2776 NW 35 93249 G 02/05-17 76 37 25 79 NW 16 25 2 1 NW36 1463 NW 30 38488 P 02/05-18 76 37 21 90 NW 17 1 1073 NW 28 27540 P 02/05-19 76 37 21 87 NW 17 1 683 NW 25 16592 P 02/05-20 76 37 19 90 NW 17 28 2 1 NW40 293 NW 22 5645 P 02/05-21 76 37 18 88 NW 16 1 286 NW 21 5128 P 02/05-22 76 37 17 87 NW 15 1 279 NW 18 4610 P 02/05-23 76 37 17 84 NW 13 13 2 1 NW53 271 NW 17 4093 P 02/06-00 76 37 19 78 W 10 1 396 W 15 4398 P 02/06-01 76 37 17 84 W 7 1 521 W 12 4703 P 02/06-02 76 37 17 86 W 6 6 2 1 W47 646 W 9 5008 P 02/06-03 76 37 18 85 W 7 1 689 W 12 7289 P 02/06-04 76 37 18 87 W 9 1 732 W 15 9570 P 02/06-05 86 39 18 87 W 10 10 2 1 NW59 774 W 17 11851 P 02/06-06 86 39 18 87 W 10 1 723 W 17 10580 P 02/06-07 86 39 18 87 W 9 1 671 W 16 9309 P 02/06-08 86 39 19 81 W 9 9 2 1 NW67 620 NW 15 8038 P 02/06-09 86 39 24 66 NW 9 1 1274 NW 20 27198 P 02/06-10 86 39 25 61 NW 10 1 1928 NW 24 46358 F 02/06-11 86 39 26 57 NW 10 10 2 1 NW78 2582 NW 29 65519 G 02/06-12 86 39 27 56 NW 10 1 2857 NW 30 76152 G 02/06-13 86 39 27 54 NW 12 1 3132 NW 32 86785 G 02/06-14 86 39 27 53 NW 12 12 2 1 NW75 3407 NW 33 97418 G 02/06-15 86 39 27 54 NW 12 1 2503 NW 26 67998 G 02/06-16 86 39 25 57 NW 12 1 1600 NW 21 38577 P 02/06-17 88 38 19 75 NW 10 10 2 1 NW81 697 NW 15 9157 P 02/06-18 88 38 16 82 NW 9 1 731 NW 14 9001 P 02/06-19 88 38 16 79 NW 8 1 766 NW 14 8844 P 02/06-20 88 38 14 81 NW 7 7 2 1 NW83 800 NW 13 8688 P 02/06-21 88 38 14 79 NW 6 1 871 NW 13 9615 P 02/06-22 88 38 13 78 NW 6 1 941 W 13 10543 P 02/06-23 88 38 13 75 NW 5 5 2 1 NW75 1012 W 13 11470 P 02/07-00 88 38 14 72 NW 5 1 1021 W 14 12445 P 02/07-01 88 38 13 75 NW 5 1 1031 W 15 13421 P 02/07-02 88 38 13 77 W 5 5 2 1 NW75 1041 W 16 14396 P 02/07-03 88 38 15 72 W 6 1 1044 W 17 16138 P 02/07-04 88 38 15 70 W 6 1 1046 W 20 17880 P 02/07-05 64 26 16 68 W 7 7 2 1 NW78 1049 W 22 19623 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...PAT OWENS REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110204.RFB16.01/BOU