FNUS72 KMLB 041038
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR BUCK LAKE...SJRWMD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
538 AM EST FRI FEB 4 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 EST ON FEBRUARY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE MAIN FORECAST CONCERN TODAY WILL BE LINGERING
WETTING FROM THIS MORNING'S WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG AFFECTING IGNITION.
CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO BREAK UP ABOUT 10 AM, FOLLOWED BY BOUNDARY
LAYER COUPLING OF THE ATMOSPHERE. THIS WILL RESULT IN RH VALUES
DROPPING FROM NEAR 90% IN THE 9-10 AM TIME FRAME BACK INTO THE
UPPER 70S AFTER 11 AM...AS SSE WINDS INCREASE TO AROUND 10 MPH.

THE MAIN CAVEAT WITH THIS MORNING'S FORECAST WOULD BE ANY DELAY IN
THE BREAKUP OF LOW CLOUDS...WHICH WOULD ALSO DELAY THE RISE IN
TEMPERATURES AS WELL AS THE INCREASE IN WINDS AND RH VALUES PAST
10 AM. WORST CASE SCENARIO WOULD BE WETTING LINGERING UNTIL ABOUT
11 AM.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY THEN BECOMING CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS.
                    WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 10 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....47.
LVORI...............0.

TIME (EST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........CDY PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............68  70  72  73  75  75  75  75  73  71
RH..............90  87  81  76  71  71  69  69  71  76
20 FT WIND DIR..SSE SSE S   S   S   SSE SSE SSE S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..3   6   9   9   10  10  10  9   8   7
20 FT WIND GUST.5   8   11  11  13  13  12  11  10  9

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. AREAS OF FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-700 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....9.
LVORI...............8.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-3000 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 22 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 15
                    TO 24 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....58.
LVORI...............0.

$$
FORECASTER...CRISTALDI
REQUESTED BY...DUFF SWAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110204.BUCKL.01/MLB