FNUS71 KRNK 062151
FWSRNK

SPOT FORECAST FOR CALDWELL...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
451 PM EST SUN FEB 6 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1642 EST ON FEBRUARY 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT PROVIDING FOR
A DRY FORECAST. HIGH THIN CLOUDS WILL FILL IN ACROSS THE AREA
OVERNIGHT. FROM MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...THE ATMOSPHERE
WILL BE ACTIVE WITH TWO DISTINCT WEATHER SYSTEMS MOVING THROUGH
OR NEAR THE REGION.

THE FIRST EVENT WILL INVOLVE A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE REGION
MONDAY NIGHT...WHILE LOW PRESSURE MOVES NORTH ALONG THE COAST.
ANTICIPATE AREAS OF LIGHT RAIN MOVING INTO MAINLY WESTERLY PARTS OF
THE AREA LATE IN THE DAY MONDAY WITH RAIN OR SNOW MONDAY NIGHT.
THE NEXT SYSTEM WILL ARRIVE WEDNESDAY AND EXIT THURSDAY. THIS SECOND
ONE HAS A GREATER POTENTIAL FOR PRODUCING WIDESPREAD SNOW ACROSS THE
REGION.

&&

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 29.
MAX HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 0 TO 6 MPH.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.

TIME (EST)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............26     34     36     45     52     55
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................43     39     37     36     34     34
RH..................47     55     62     65     67     68
20 FT WIND..........S 3    S 2    SW 2   W 2    W 2    W 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      5      5      5      5
EYE LEVEL WIND......S 2    S 2    SW 2   W 2    W 2    W 2
EYE LVL WND GST.....5      5      5      5      5      5
CWR.................0      0      0      0      0      0

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO
                    7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 0 TO 9 MPH...INCREASING TO 13 TO 16 MPH
                    LATE.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO
                    7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EST)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............55     58     63     62     70     86
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................31     34     41     46     50     51
RH..................74     69     56     49     44     44
20 FT WIND..........W 2    W 2    SW 2   SW 3   S 5    S 6
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      5      5      10     10
EYE LEVEL WIND......W 2    W 1    SW 1   SW 2   S 4    S 4
EYE LVL WND GST.....5      5      5      5      10     10
CWR.................0      0      0      0      10     10

$$
FORECASTER...SILVERMAN
REQUESTED BY...DAVE BOSTIC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110206.CALDW.01/RNK