FNUS75 KBOU 072139 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR GREEN RIDGE PILES...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 240 PM MST MON FEB 7 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT...BRINGING SNOW AND COLDER TEMPERATURES. SURFACE WINDS SHOULD REMAIN LIGHT DOWNVALLEY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...THEN SOME WESTERLY WIND ALOFT WILL MIX DOWN ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. OVERNIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE A STEADY BUT LIGHT NORTHEAST/ DOWNVALLEY WITH A STRONG SHALLOW INVERSION DEVELOPING DURING THE NIGHT. SURFACE WINDS IN THE TABLE ARE LIKELY TOO STRONG FROM UNDERESTIMATING THE STRENGTH OF THE LOW LEVEL INVERSION...MAINLY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW UNTIL 1100...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....10-14. MIN HUMIDITY........43-47%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 4-6 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-4200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 2300. MIN TEMPERATURE.....-10 TO -14. MAX HUMIDITY........75-85%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 2-6 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2200 FT AGL UNTIL 2400...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1100 UNTIL 1700. MAX TEMPERATURE.....8-12. MIN HUMIDITY........45-55%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-4 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN WEST 6-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 4-12 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN WEST 13-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 2800-3800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1400...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 6 BELOW. HIGHS AROUND 15. WEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 2. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 4. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 9. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR GREEN RIDGE PILES. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 02/07-14 98 63 23 55 W 14 21 2 1 NW64 4946 W 33 144096 V 02/07-15 98 63 24 53 W 13 1 5010 W 33 144548 V 02/07-16 98 63 23 56 W 13 1 5074 W 33 145000 V 02/07-17 99 75 21 58 SW 12 17 2 1 NW66 5138 W 32 145451 V 02/07-18 99 75 20 61 SW 12 1 4633 W 30 124044 V 02/07-19 99 75 19 63 W 10 1 4127 W 28 102636 V 02/07-20 99 75 18 66 W 10 16 2 1 W52 3622 W 25 81228 G 02/07-21 99 75 17 70 W 9 1 2809 W 22 58460 F 02/07-22 99 75 15 74 W 9 1 1995 W 17 35692 P 02/07-23 98 87 14 79 W 8 8 2 1 W24 1182 W 13 12923 P 02/08-00 98 87 14 81 NW 7 1 985 W 9 8913 P 02/08-01 98 87 13 81 N 6 1 789 NW 6 4903 P 02/08-02 98 87 13 81 N 5 5 2 1 W18 592 N 2 893 P 02/08-03 98 87 13 84 N 5 1 814 N 3 3700 P 02/08-04 98 87 13 85 NE 6 1 1037 NE 6 6508 P 02/08-05 99 82 13 82 E 7 7 2 1 SW26 1259 E 8 9315 P 02/08-06 99 82 13 72 E 7 1 1490 E 9 12178 P 02/08-07 99 82 12 62 E 7 1 1721 E 10 15040 P 02/08-08 99 82 12 54 E 7 7 2 1 SW18 1952 E 10 17903 P 02/08-09 99 82 12 49 E 7 1 2755 E 3 12054 P 02/08-10 99 82 12 47 E 7 1 3415 NE 6 21470 P 02/08-11 98 40 12 46 E 7 7 2 1 SW20 4075 NE 9 30886 P 02/08-12 98 40 12 45 E 7 1 4164 NE 9 33355 P 02/08-13 98 40 12 45 E 6 1 4253 NE 9 35824 P 02/08-14 96 40 12 45 E 6 6 2 1 W 9 4342 NE 10 38293 P 02/08-15 96 40 11 47 E 5 1 3850 NE 10 33152 P 02/08-16 96 40 9 49 E 5 1 3358 NE 9 28012 P 02/08-17 94 42 7 52 E 5 5 2 1 NW 9 2866 NE 9 22871 P 02/08-18 94 42 2 60 E 6 1 2383 E 13 25749 P 02/08-19 94 42 0 63 E 8 1 2061 E 13 22882 P 02/08-20 94 42 -2 65 E 8 13 2 1 N10 1740 E 14 20016 P 02/08-21 94 42 -4 67 E 7 1 1507 E 12 15978 P 02/08-22 94 42 -6 69 NE 6 1 1274 E 10 11940 P 02/08-23 82 9 -7 70 NE 5 5 2 1 N13 1041 E 9 7903 P 02/09-00 82 9 -8 72 NE 5 1 888 NE 8 6119 P 02/09-01 82 9 -9 72 NE 6 1 734 NE 6 4335 P 02/09-02 82 9 -10 72 NE 6 6 2 1 N16 581 NE 5 2551 P 02/09-03 82 9 -10 73 NE 5 1 514 NE 5 2021 P 02/09-04 82 9 -10 74 N 5 1 447 N 3 1492 P 02/09-05 63 9 -10 74 N 3 3 2 1 NW24 380 N 3 962 P 02/09-06 63 9 -10 76 N 3 1 566 N 3 1476 P 02/09-07 63 9 -9 77 N 3 1 751 NW 3 1990 P 02/09-08 63 9 -6 72 N 3 3 2 1 NW31 937 NW 3 2504 P 02/09-09 63 9 -3 65 N 3 1 1751 NW 6 11251 P 02/09-10 63 9 0 60 W 5 1 2565 W 8 19998 P 02/09-11 54 10 4 55 SW 6 6 2 1 N30 3379 W 10 28744 P 02/09-12 54 10 6 52 SW 8 1 3540 W 13 39561 P 02/09-13 54 10 8 50 W 9 1 3700 W 15 50378 F 02/09-14 54 10 8 49 W 12 18 3 1 NW32 3861 W 18 61196 G 02/09-15 54 10 8 51 W 13 1 3455 W 21 60045 G 02/09-16 54 10 7 55 W 14 1 3048 W 23 58895 F 02/09-17 58 5 4 62 W 14 22 3 1 NW44 2642 W 25 57745 F 02/09-18 58 5 2 67 W 12 1 2137 W 21 42811 F 02/09-19 58 5 0 71 NW 9 1 1631 W 17 27877 P 02/09-20 58 5 -2 74 NW 7 7 2 1 NW39 1126 W 13 12944 P 02/09-21 58 5 -4 76 NW 6 1 955 W 10 9716 P 02/09-22 58 5 -5 78 NW 5 1 785 W 8 6488 P 02/09-23 67 5 -6 79 NW 5 5 2 1 NW36 614 W 6 3261 P 02/10-00 67 5 -7 81 NW 5 1 590 W 6 2930 P 02/10-01 67 5 -8 81 NW 3 1 566 W 6 2600 P 02/10-02 67 5 -8 82 N 3 3 2 1 NW32 543 W 5 2269 P 02/10-03 67 5 -9 83 NW 3 1 520 W 5 2098 P 02/10-04 67 5 -9 84 NW 2 1 497 W 5 1927 P 02/10-05 53 9 -9 85 NW 2 2 2 1 NW29 474 W 5 1755 P 02/10-06 53 9 -9 89 NW 2 1 686 W 6 3458 P 02/10-07 53 9 -7 87 W 2 1 899 W 6 5160 P 02/10-08 53 9 -4 79 SW 3 3 2 1 NW29 1111 W 7 6862 P 02/10-09 53 9 1 70 W 6 1 1486 W 9 12816 P 02/10-10 53 9 4 65 W 8 1 1861 W 10 18770 P 02/10-11 54 9 8 58 W 10 16 3 1 NW29 2236 W 13 24723 P 02/10-12 54 9 11 54 W 12 1 2414 W 14 29754 P 02/10-13 53 9 13 52 W 13 1 2592 W 15 34785 P 02/10-14 53 9 14 52 W 13 20 2 1 NW36 2770 W 16 39816 P 02/10-15 53 9 13 54 W 13 1 2518 W 17 36714 P 02/10-16 52 9 12 58 W 12 1 2266 W 17 33611 P 02/10-17 52 7 11 62 W 12 18 2 1 N36 2014 W 17 30509 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...GIMMESTAD REQUESTED BY...PAUL MINTIER REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110208.GREEN.01/BOU