FNUS72 KMFL 082211
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR YES FIRE...NPS BIG CYPRESS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
511 PM EST TUE FEB 8 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1700 EST ON FEBRUARY 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SURFACE WINDS WILL START LIGHT FROM THE NORTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON, BUT
WILL BECOME LIGHT NORTHEAST THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT, THEREFORE DISPERSION
INDICES WILL GO FROM GENERALLY GOOD THIS EVENING TO POOR OVERNIGHT. ANY SMOKE
WILL START SPREADING SOUTH-SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AFFECTING ANY
ROAD SOUTH OF THE WILDFIRE SITE, AND THEN WILL SIT ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT
DUE TO POOR DISPERSION.

SURFACE WINDS WILL START LIGHT FROM THE EAST WEDNESDAY MORNING AND THAT WILL
RESULT IN FAIR DISPERSION INDICES DURING THE MORNING HOURS. HOWEVER, THE
SURFACE FLOW SHOULD TURN MORE FROM THE SOUTH LATE IN THE MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON. THIS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SMOKE SPREADING MORE TOWARD THE WEST
AND NORTHWEST OF THE BURN SITE ON WEDNESDAY.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 46.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
                    LATE IN THE NIGHT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
                    LATE IN THE NIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....16 DECREASING TO 3 IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
LVORI...............9.

TIME (EST)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........10     10     10     10     10     10
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............60     55     52     48     47     46
RH..............76     92     95     97     100    100
20 FT WIND......N 3    N 3    N 3    NE 3   NE 3   NE 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      5      5      5
EYE LEVEL WIND..N 3    N 3    N 3    NE 3   NE 3   NE 3
EYE LEVEL WIND..5      5      5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....1600   1600   500    500    500    300
MIXNG WIND......NW 6   NW 6   N 6    N 6    N 6    NE 6
DISPERSION IDX..16     16     3      3      3      3
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5
                    TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5
                    TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....24 INCREASING TO 39 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 26 LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.

$$
FORECASTER...GARCIA
REQUESTED BY...KEVIN LOGIUDICE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE