FNUS75 KBOU 091257 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR ARSENAL PILES...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 551 AM MST WED FEB 9 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A WARMER AND MUCH DRIER AIRMASS WILL REPLACE THE SNOWY AND BITTER COLD ARCTIC AIRMASS OF THE PAST 24 HOURS. LIGHT WINDS ALOFT AND A WEAK SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL ALSO RESULT IN A TYPICAL DIURNAL WIND PATTERN WITH WIND SPEEDS GENERALLY UNDER 10 MPH. WARMER TEMPERATURES TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL STILL BE WELL BELOW AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 0800...THEN MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....25. MIN HUMIDITY........44%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 6-7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 1600-2600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....7. MAX HUMIDITY........80%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....34. MIN HUMIDITY........39%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6-12 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN WEST AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 2200-3200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR ARSENAL PILES. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 02/09-05 31 0 -9 97 S 3 3 2 1 N21 114 S 3 398 P 02/09-06 31 0 -9 98 S 5 1 157 S 5 779 P 02/09-07 31 0 -6 88 S 6 1 199 S 6 1161 P 02/09-08 25 0 -1 75 S 7 7 2 1 N21 242 S 7 1542 P 02/09-09 25 0 5 63 S 7 1 847 SW 7 4910 P 02/09-10 25 0 10 56 S 6 1 1452 SW 7 8279 P 02/09-11 19 0 15 49 S 5 5 3 1 N21 2057 SW 7 11648 P 02/09-12 19 0 19 46 S 5 1 2648 SW 6 13218 P 02/09-13 19 0 22 44 S 5 1 3239 W 6 14788 P 02/09-14 7 0 23 45 SE 5 5 4 1 N31 3829 W 5 16359 P 02/09-15 7 0 23 47 SE 5 1 2870 W 5 12127 P 02/09-16 7 0 22 50 SE 5 1 1911 SW 5 7896 P 02/09-17 8 0 20 54 SE 5 5 3 1 NW30 952 SW 5 3664 P 02/09-18 8 0 18 58 SE 5 1 728 SW 5 2903 P 02/09-19 8 0 16 61 S 5 1 504 SW 6 2142 P 02/09-20 8 0 14 64 S 6 6 3 1 NW33 279 SW 6 1381 P 02/09-21 8 0 13 67 S 7 1 272 SW 7 1543 P 02/09-22 8 0 11 70 S 8 1 264 SW 8 1704 P 02/09-23 19 0 10 72 S 9 14 3 1 NW33 256 S 8 1866 P 02/10-00 19 0 9 74 S 9 1 240 SW 8 1737 P 02/10-01 19 0 9 75 S 9 1 225 SW 8 1607 P 02/10-02 19 0 8 77 S 9 14 2 1 NW25 210 SW 8 1478 P 02/10-03 19 0 8 79 S 8 1 186 SW 8 1278 P 02/10-04 19 0 7 80 S 8 1 162 SW 8 1078 P 02/10-05 43 3 8 80 S 9 14 2 1 NW20 148 S 8 1062 P 02/10-06 43 3 8 77 S 8 1 189 S 8 1182 P 02/10-07 43 3 10 70 S 7 1 230 SW 7 1302 P 02/10-08 43 3 14 59 S 6 6 2 1 N23 270 SW 6 1422 P 02/10-09 43 3 18 51 S 6 1 1013 SW 8 8779 P 02/10-10 43 3 22 46 SW 6 1 1755 W 9 16135 P 02/10-11 29 3 26 42 SW 6 6 2 1 NW29 2497 W 10 23492 P 02/10-12 29 3 29 40 SW 5 1 3156 W 12 30410 P 02/10-13 29 3 32 39 W 2 1 3814 W 12 37328 P 02/10-14 29 3 33 40 CALM 1 2 1 NW33 4473 W 12 44245 F 02/10-15 29 3 32 43 CALM 1 3519 W 12 35218 P 02/10-16 29 3 31 48 CALM 1 2564 W 12 26191 P 02/10-17 35 4 29 53 SW 2 2 2 1 NW47 1610 W 13 17163 P 02/10-18 35 4 27 57 SW 3 1 1249 W 10 12684 P 02/10-19 35 4 25 60 S 6 1 888 W 9 8204 P 02/10-20 35 4 23 62 S 7 7 2 1 NW37 527 W 8 3725 P 02/10-21 35 4 21 63 S 8 1 525 SW 9 4097 P 02/10-22 35 4 20 64 S 9 1 523 SW 10 4469 P 02/10-23 35 4 19 64 S 10 16 2 1 NW29 521 SW 10 4842 P 02/11-00 35 4 18 65 S 10 1 500 SW 10 4494 P 02/11-01 35 4 17 65 S 9 1 479 SW 10 4147 P 02/11-02 35 4 17 67 S 8 8 2 1 NW29 458 W 9 3800 P 02/11-03 35 4 17 68 S 8 1 450 SW 9 3498 P 02/11-04 35 4 16 70 S 9 1 442 SW 8 3196 P 02/11-05 32 0 17 72 S 9 14 2 1 NW26 433 SW 8 2894 P 02/11-06 32 0 17 76 S 9 1 534 SW 8 3861 P 02/11-07 32 0 19 75 S 9 1 634 W 8 4828 P 02/11-08 32 0 23 69 S 8 8 2 1 NW30 735 W 9 5795 P 02/11-09 32 0 27 62 S 7 1 1241 W 9 10095 P 02/11-10 32 0 31 58 SW 6 1 1748 W 9 14395 P 02/11-11 32 0 35 53 SW 5 5 2 1 NW38 2255 W 9 18694 P 02/11-12 32 0 38 50 SW 3 1 2840 W 9 21415 P 02/11-13 31 0 40 49 S 3 1 3426 W 8 24135 P 02/11-14 31 0 41 49 S 3 3 2 1 N44 4011 W 8 26855 P 02/11-15 30 0 41 52 S 3 1 3026 W 7 19822 P 02/11-16 29 0 39 56 S 3 1 2041 W 7 12788 P 02/11-17 29 0 36 62 S 5 5 2 1 NW36 1055 W 6 5755 P 02/11-18 27 0 34 65 S 6 1 810 W 7 4457 P 02/11-19 26 0 31 66 S 6 1 565 SW 7 3158 P 02/11-20 24 0 29 65 S 7 7 2 1 NW35 320 SW 7 1859 P 02/11-21 22 0 27 65 S 8 1 298 SW 7 1882 P 02/11-22 21 0 26 63 S 8 1 276 SW 8 1905 P 02/11-23 19 0 25 62 S 9 14 3 1 NW36 254 SW 9 1928 P 02/12-00 19 0 23 63 S 9 1 229 SW 9 1792 P 02/12-01 19 0 23 65 S 9 1 203 SW 9 1657 P 02/12-02 19 0 22 67 S 9 14 3 1 NW39 178 SW 10 1521 P 02/12-03 19 0 22 69 SW 9 1 171 SW 10 1461 P 02/12-04 19 0 21 71 SW 9 1 164 SW 10 1402 P 02/12-05 34 0 21 73 SW 9 14 3 1 NW36 157 SW 10 1342 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...JASON FALLON REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110209.ARSEN.01/BOU