FNUS75 KBOU 091259 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR JAMES CREEK PBFB1...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 556 AM MST WED FEB 9 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A WARMER AND MUCH DRIER AIRMASS WILL REPLACE THE SNOWY AND BITTER COLD ARCTIC AIRMASS OF THE PAST 24 HOURS. LIGHT WINDS ALOFT AND A WEAK SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL ALSO RESULT IN A TYPICAL DIURNAL WIND PATTERN WITH WIND SPEEDS GENERALLY UNDER 10 MPH. WARMER TEMPERATURES TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL STILL BE WELL BELOW AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 1100...THEN MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....17. MIN HUMIDITY........45%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 9-15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 2000-3000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....1. MAX HUMIDITY........73%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 15-23 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-1400 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....23. MIN HUMIDITY........42%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. WEST WINDS 22-32 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 16-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 1600-2600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. BREEZY. WEST WINDS AROUND 26 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS AROUND 40. WEST WINDS AROUND 19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR JAMES CREEK PBFB1. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 02/09-05 32 0 -11 100 W 12 18 2 1 NW20 156 W 10 1458 P 02/09-06 32 0 -11 98 W 13 1 223 W 10 2054 P 02/09-07 32 0 -9 83 W 13 1 290 W 10 2649 P 02/09-08 26 0 -5 67 W 12 18 2 1 N24 357 W 10 3245 P 02/09-09 26 0 0 57 W 9 1 1087 W 12 13293 P 02/09-10 26 0 4 53 W 7 1 1818 NW 14 23341 P 02/09-11 20 0 9 49 W 6 6 4 1 N37 2548 NW 15 33388 P 02/09-12 20 0 12 46 W 6 1 2873 NW 15 37518 P 02/09-13 20 0 14 45 W 6 1 3197 NW 15 41648 F 02/09-14 18 0 15 45 W 7 7 4 1 N33 3522 NW 15 45778 F 02/09-15 18 0 15 46 W 8 1 2896 NW 16 38587 P 02/09-16 18 0 14 47 W 10 1 2271 NW 16 31397 P 02/09-17 8 4 12 48 W 13 21 4 1 N36 1645 W 17 24206 P 02/09-18 8 4 10 49 W 16 1 1397 W 20 22611 P 02/09-19 8 4 9 50 W 18 1 1148 W 22 21016 P 02/09-20 8 4 7 50 W 21 33 4 1 NW39 899 W 25 19421 P 02/09-21 8 4 6 53 W 21 1 727 W 23 14985 P 02/09-22 8 4 5 56 W 18 1 554 W 21 10548 P 02/09-23 38 6 4 59 W 17 28 3 1 NW33 382 W 18 6112 P 02/10-00 38 6 3 61 W 17 1 336 W 18 5353 P 02/10-01 38 6 2 63 W 17 1 291 W 18 4593 P 02/10-02 38 6 2 65 W 18 30 2 1 NW18 245 W 18 3834 P 02/10-03 38 6 2 66 W 18 1 245 W 20 4075 P 02/10-04 38 6 1 67 W 20 1 245 W 21 4316 P 02/10-05 50 7 2 69 W 21 33 2 1 NW28 263 W 20 4541 P 02/10-06 50 7 2 73 W 20 1 426 W 18 6625 P 02/10-07 50 7 3 72 W 18 1 588 W 17 8709 P 02/10-08 50 7 6 65 W 18 30 2 1 N31 751 W 16 10793 P 02/10-09 50 7 10 58 W 18 1 1182 W 16 16941 P 02/10-10 50 7 13 53 W 20 1 1612 W 16 23089 P 02/10-11 34 7 16 48 W 21 33 2 1 NW36 2043 W 16 29237 P 02/10-12 34 7 19 45 W 22 1 2241 W 18 36605 P 02/10-13 34 7 21 42 W 24 1 2440 NW 21 43973 F 02/10-14 34 7 22 42 W 25 40 2 1 N47 2639 NW 22 51341 F 02/10-15 34 7 21 43 W 28 1 2290 NW 23 45939 F 02/10-16 34 7 21 45 W 29 1 1942 NW 24 40538 F 02/10-17 42 7 20 47 W 30 48 3 1 N48 1594 NW 25 35137 P 02/10-18 42 7 18 49 W 30 1 1418 NW 24 30667 P 02/10-19 42 7 17 51 W 29 1 1242 W 24 26196 P 02/10-20 42 7 17 52 W 28 44 3 1 NW38 1067 W 23 21726 P 02/10-21 42 7 16 53 W 29 1 1019 W 23 20866 P 02/10-22 42 7 15 54 W 30 1 972 W 24 20006 P 02/10-23 42 7 14 55 W 31 49 2 1 NW37 924 W 24 19146 P 02/11-00 42 7 14 57 W 32 1 942 W 28 22648 P 02/11-01 42 7 13 59 W 33 1 960 W 31 26151 P 02/11-02 42 7 13 62 W 33 53 2 1 NW38 979 W 35 29654 P 02/11-03 42 7 13 64 W 33 1 955 W 35 28261 P 02/11-04 42 7 13 67 W 33 1 932 W 33 26868 P 02/11-05 36 5 13 71 W 32 52 3 1 NW37 909 W 32 25475 P 02/11-06 36 5 13 77 W 30 1 982 W 28 22927 P 02/11-07 36 5 15 78 W 25 1 1056 W 23 20379 P 02/11-08 36 5 17 77 W 23 37 2 1 NW39 1129 W 18 17831 P 02/11-09 36 5 20 73 W 22 1 1451 NW 18 23988 P 02/11-10 36 5 23 71 W 22 1 1774 NW 20 30145 P 02/11-11 36 5 26 67 W 22 35 2 1 N49 2096 NW 20 36302 P 02/11-12 36 5 28 63 W 21 1 2141 NW 18 33835 P 02/11-13 36 5 29 60 W 18 1 2187 NW 16 31367 P 02/11-14 36 5 30 58 W 18 30 2 1 N48 2232 NW 15 28900 P 02/11-15 35 5 30 58 W 21 1 1929 NW 17 27498 P 02/11-16 35 5 29 58 W 24 1 1626 W 20 26095 P 02/11-17 35 0 27 60 W 26 43 2 1 NW41 1324 W 22 24693 P 02/11-18 34 0 26 61 W 25 1 1230 W 22 23488 P 02/11-19 34 0 24 62 W 24 1 1137 W 23 22282 P 02/11-20 33 0 23 61 W 23 37 3 1 NW45 1044 W 23 21077 P 02/11-21 32 0 22 62 W 24 1 893 W 24 18481 P 02/11-22 32 0 21 61 W 26 1 742 W 25 15886 P 02/11-23 31 0 21 60 W 28 44 2 1 NW45 590 W 26 13290 P 02/12-00 31 0 20 60 W 28 1 509 W 25 11181 P 02/12-01 31 0 19 59 W 26 1 428 W 24 9073 P 02/12-02 31 0 19 59 W 25 40 2 1 NW44 347 W 23 6964 P 02/12-03 31 0 19 59 W 24 1 310 W 22 6072 P 02/12-04 31 0 19 60 W 22 1 272 W 22 5179 P 02/12-05 51 0 19 61 W 21 33 3 1 NW39 234 W 21 4287 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...TIM EGAN REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110209.JAMES.01/BOU