FNUS75 KBOU 091244 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR JAMES CREEK O0401...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 539 AM MST WED FEB 9 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A WARMER AND MUCH DRIER AIRMASS WILL REPLACE THE SNOWY AND BITTER COLD ARCTIC AIRMASS OF THE PAST 24 HOURS. LIGHT WINDS ALOFT AND A WEAK SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL ALSO RESULT IN A TYPICAL DIURNAL WIND PATTERN WITH WIND SPEEDS GENERALLY UNDER 10 MPH. WARMER TEMPERATURES TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL STILL BE WELL BELOW AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 1100...THEN MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....15. MIN HUMIDITY........49%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 8-14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 1800-2800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....0. MAX HUMIDITY........73%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. WEST WINDS 16-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1400 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1100...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....21. MIN HUMIDITY........44%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. WEST WINDS 22-32 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 17-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 1600-2600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1300...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. BREEZY. WEST WINDS AROUND 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR JAMES CREEK O0401. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 02/09-05 32 0 -11 100 W 10 16 2 1 NW22 177 W 12 1687 P 02/09-06 32 0 -11 97 W 10 1 274 W 12 2643 P 02/09-07 32 0 -9 81 W 10 1 371 W 12 3600 P 02/09-08 26 0 -5 66 W 10 16 2 1 N28 467 W 12 4557 P 02/09-09 26 0 -1 59 W 9 1 1162 NW 13 14773 P 02/09-10 26 0 3 57 W 8 1 1857 NW 14 24990 P 02/09-11 21 0 7 55 W 7 7 4 1 N38 2551 NW 16 35206 P 02/09-12 21 0 10 52 W 7 1 2780 NW 16 37830 P 02/09-13 21 0 12 50 W 7 1 3009 NW 15 40454 F 02/09-14 20 0 13 49 W 8 13 4 1 N36 3238 NW 15 43078 F 02/09-15 20 0 13 50 W 9 1 2725 NW 16 37634 P 02/09-16 20 0 12 51 W 12 1 2212 NW 17 32190 P 02/09-17 8 5 10 52 W 14 22 4 1 N39 1698 W 18 26746 P 02/09-18 8 5 9 52 W 17 1 1464 W 21 25275 P 02/09-19 8 5 7 51 W 20 1 1229 W 23 23804 P 02/09-20 8 5 6 51 W 22 35 4 1 NW40 994 W 25 22332 P 02/09-21 8 5 5 54 W 22 1 818 W 24 17581 P 02/09-22 8 5 4 57 W 20 1 642 W 22 12830 P 02/09-23 43 7 3 60 W 18 30 3 1 NW33 466 W 20 8079 P 02/10-00 43 7 2 61 W 18 1 407 W 20 6961 P 02/10-01 43 7 2 62 W 18 1 349 W 20 5842 P 02/10-02 43 7 1 64 W 20 31 2 1 NW20 290 W 18 4724 P 02/10-03 43 7 1 65 W 21 1 288 W 20 5000 P 02/10-04 43 7 1 68 W 22 1 286 W 21 5275 P 02/10-05 51 7 1 70 W 21 33 2 1 NW28 306 W 21 5437 P 02/10-06 51 7 1 73 W 20 1 494 W 20 7914 P 02/10-07 51 7 2 72 W 18 1 682 W 18 10392 P 02/10-08 51 7 5 66 W 18 30 2 1 NW31 871 W 17 12869 P 02/10-09 51 7 9 59 W 18 1 1250 W 17 18921 P 02/10-10 51 7 12 54 W 20 1 1630 W 17 24972 P 02/10-11 35 7 15 49 W 21 33 2 1 NW37 2009 W 17 31024 P 02/10-12 35 7 17 46 W 22 1 2179 W 20 38075 P 02/10-13 35 7 19 44 W 24 1 2350 W 22 45126 F 02/10-14 35 7 20 44 W 25 40 3 1 N46 2520 NW 24 52177 F 02/10-15 35 7 20 45 W 28 1 2219 NW 24 47200 F 02/10-16 35 7 19 47 W 29 1 1918 NW 25 42223 F 02/10-17 45 7 18 49 W 30 48 3 1 N49 1617 NW 26 37246 P 02/10-18 45 7 17 51 W 29 1 1454 NW 25 32712 P 02/10-19 45 7 16 52 W 28 1 1290 W 25 28179 P 02/10-20 45 7 16 53 W 26 43 3 1 NW40 1126 W 24 23645 P 02/10-21 45 7 15 54 W 26 1 1095 W 24 23103 P 02/10-22 45 7 14 55 W 28 1 1063 W 24 22560 P 02/10-23 45 7 14 56 W 29 46 2 1 NW40 1031 W 24 22018 P 02/11-00 45 7 13 57 W 30 1 1049 W 29 25868 P 02/11-01 45 7 13 58 W 31 1 1067 W 32 29718 P 02/11-02 45 7 13 60 W 32 52 3 1 NW41 1086 W 36 33569 P 02/11-03 45 7 13 62 W 32 1 1062 W 35 32055 P 02/11-04 45 7 13 64 W 32 1 1039 W 33 30541 P 02/11-05 37 5 13 67 W 31 49 3 1 NW39 1016 W 33 29026 P 02/11-06 37 5 13 72 W 29 1 1079 W 29 26009 P 02/11-07 37 5 14 74 W 25 1 1141 W 24 22991 P 02/11-08 37 5 16 73 W 23 37 2 1 NW44 1204 W 20 19973 P 02/11-09 37 5 19 71 W 22 1 1485 W 20 25578 P 02/11-10 37 5 21 69 W 21 1 1767 NW 21 31182 P 02/11-11 37 5 24 66 W 21 33 2 1 N53 2049 NW 21 36787 P 02/11-12 37 5 26 63 W 20 1 2074 NW 20 34385 P 02/11-13 37 5 27 60 W 18 1 2100 NW 17 31982 P 02/11-14 37 5 28 58 W 18 30 2 1 N48 2126 NW 16 29580 P 02/11-15 36 5 27 57 W 21 1 1863 W 18 28539 P 02/11-16 36 5 27 57 W 24 1 1600 W 21 27497 P 02/11-17 36 0 25 58 W 26 43 3 1 NW43 1337 W 23 26456 P 02/11-18 35 0 24 59 W 25 1 1256 W 23 25312 P 02/11-19 35 0 23 59 W 24 1 1175 W 24 24168 P 02/11-20 34 0 22 59 W 23 37 3 1 NW46 1094 W 24 23024 P 02/11-21 33 0 21 59 W 24 1 953 W 25 20632 P 02/11-22 33 0 21 58 W 25 1 812 W 26 18241 P 02/11-23 32 0 20 58 W 26 43 2 1 NW46 671 W 28 15850 P 02/12-00 32 0 19 57 W 26 1 589 W 26 13491 P 02/12-01 32 0 19 56 W 25 1 507 W 25 11132 P 02/12-02 32 0 19 56 W 24 39 2 1 NW45 426 W 24 8773 P 02/12-03 32 0 19 55 W 23 1 374 W 23 7571 P 02/12-04 32 0 18 56 W 22 1 322 W 23 6370 P 02/12-05 52 0 19 58 W 21 33 3 1 NW40 270 W 22 5168 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...TIM EGAN REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110209.JAMES.02/BOU