FNUS75 KGJT 101156
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR STORMVEX - AM...NWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
456 AM MST THU FEB 10 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0430 MST ON FEBRUARY 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...ONE WAVE WILL EXIT EARLY TODAY AS THE NEXT SHORTWAVE
APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST. BY THIS EVENING THE NEXT WAVE WILL
RESULT IN A SLIGHTLY BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. DRIER
CONDITIONS FOLLOW FOR FRIDAY...HOWEVER AN ISOLATED SHOWER CANNOT BE
RULED OUT.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY EARLY...THEN DECREASING CLOUDS. PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (50-60%) BY NOON. ISOLATED SHOWERS.
CLOUD BASES.........AT TIMES LOWERING TO THE STUDY SITE IN SHOWERS
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING. THEN LIFTING TO 2000-3000
                    FEET AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
CLOUD TOPS..........12000-13000 FEET MSL IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    16000-18000 FEET MSL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....7-12 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) AT TIMES MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS
                    OVER NEARBY HIGHER TERRAIN.
CLOUD BASES.........DROPPING TO 2000-3000 FT AGL BY 8 PM. THEN
                    LOWERING TO STUDY SITE LEVEL AT TIMES IN
                    SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CLOUD TOPS..........INITIALLY 17000 FEET MSL...LOWERING TO 12000
                    FEET MSL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....1-6 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........73-78%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 17
MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%). ISOLATED SHOWERS.
CLOUD BASES.........INITIALLY AT THE STUDY SITE EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN LIFTING TO 7000 FEET IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CLOUD TOPS..........INITIALLY 12000 FEET MSL...LIFTING TO 20000
                    FEET MSL DURING THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....15-20 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-61%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...DUTY FORECASTER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110210.STORM.01/GJT