FNUS72 KJAX 100944
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SCHOOL...DOF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
444 AM EST THU FEB 10 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON FEBRUARY 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A SURFACE TROUGH ACROSS NORTH FLORIDA THAT BRIDGES BROAD
AREAS OF LOW PRESSURE FROM OFFSHORE OF THE SOUTHEAST ATLANTIC COAST TO
OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL MOVE SLOWLY SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA
TODAY INTO THIS EVENING. WIDESPREAD MODERATE RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE
THIS MORNING THROUGH NOON...THEN RAIN CHANCES WILL DECREASE
SIGNIFICANTLY AFTER 2 PM. SKIES WILL RAIN CLOUDY THROUGH THE DAY.
NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL NEAR 10 TO 15 MPH THIS AFTERNOON.


HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD WEST OF THE REGION ON FRIDAY. THE RIDGE
WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA FROM THE WEST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES TODAY THROUGH
FRIDAY. MUCH DRIER AIR WILL FILTER OVER THE REGION THIS WEEKEND...AND
RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA
BY SATURDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING. RAIN IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF RAIN AND PATCHY DRIZZLE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-2700 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 10 TO
                    14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....36.

TIME (EST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........96     96     82     82
WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN
TEMP............50     54     55     55
RH..............80     71     66     64
20 FT WIND......N 8    N 8    N 9    N 9
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....1800   1800   2700   2500
TRANSPORT WIND..N 13   N 13   N 14   N 14
LAL.............1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-500 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 5 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
TEMP............51     45     43     41     40     38
RH..............72     86     92     97     100    100
MIX HGT (FT)....2500   900    500    500    200    300
TRANSPORT WIND..N 14   NE 12  N 7    N 7    N 5    N 8

.FRIDAY...

MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 6 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300-4100 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 8 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....35.

$$
FORECASTER...ENYEDI
REQUESTED BY...BARRY COULLIETTE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110210.SCHOO.01/JAX