FNUS72 KILM 131425
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR MCLEAN...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
925 AM EST SUN FEB 13 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EST ON FEBRUARY 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
FOR WIND CONCERNS...LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS THIS MORNING...SHOULD
BECOME LIGHT SW BY NOON THEN INCREASING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
MAXIMUM WINDS SHOULD OCCUR BETWEEN 2PM-5PM...WHEN SW WIND GUSTS
COULD REACH 22 MPH.

SURFACE WINDS WILL EASE THIS EVENING AS HEATING FADES.

MILD TEMPERATURES...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED MONDAY. A DRY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT.
HIGH PRESSURE FROM THE NORTH WILL FOLLOW ON TUESDAY. THE CENTER OF
THIS HIGH WILL PASS OVER THE AREA WEDNESDAY AND OFFSHORE THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY. A SIGNIFICANT WARM-UP IS ANTICIPATED LATE THIS WEEK.


WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 4
                    TO 7 MPH BY NOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2400-3800 FT AGL
                    BY 1130 AM.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 8 MPH...BECOMING WEST 8 TO 14 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (EST)          12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............0   0   0   0   0   0
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TEMP................51  54  56  56  55  54
RH..................44  40  39  39  41  43
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......5   6   7   12  10   8
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  13  15  21  16  12

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE
                    EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2400 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 400-500 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 9 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 0 MPH
                    UNTIL EARLY MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH LATE.

TIME (EST)          6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
SKY (%).............0         0         1         2
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TEMP................52        47        45        43
RH..................47        56        60        62
20 FT WIND..........SW 5G10   SW 2G5    SW 5G10   SW 5G10

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2200-3500 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH...INCREASING TO 31 TO
                    35 MPH.

TIME (EST)          6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).............0         0         0         0
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TEMP................42        51        62        64
RH..................66        48        34        33
20 FT WIND..........SW 6G15   SW 9G15   SW 11G20  SW 10G20

$$
FORECASTER...COLBY
REQUESTED BY...ANGIE CARL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110213.MCLEA.01/ILM