FNUS72 KJAX 131232
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CEDAR CREEK...USDA- FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
732 AM EST SUN FEB 13 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0830 EST ON FEBRUARY 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST
THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE AND DRY WEATHER WILL DOMINATE TODAY AND
MONDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM UP TO THE LOWER TO POSSIBLY THE MID 60S
TODAY UNDER FULL SUN. THE DRY AIRMASS WILL PROMOTE RED FLAG
CONDITIONS ACROSS NORTHEAST FLORIDA TODAY AND MONDAY.

WINDS WILL REMAIN AT 10 MPH OR LESS TODAY...STARTING OUT FROM THE
NORTH-NORTH WEST THEN NORTHWEST LATER THIS MORNING AND THEN
WESTERLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  ON MONDAY...WEST WINDS WILL
INCREASE TO 10 TO 15 MPH ACROSS NORTHEAST FLORIDA.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....45.

TIME (EST)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........5      5      10     10     10
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............36     54     62     64     64
RH..............89     53     31     24     30
20 FT WIND......NW 5   NW 6   NW 7   W 8    W 8
20 FT WIND GUST.       10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....700    1800   4100   4100   4000
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 10  NW 9   NW 9   NW 9   W 9
DISPERSION INDX.11     21     45     45     44

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 32.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 3 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........10     10     10     10     8      8
WEATHER COV.....                                   AREAS
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   FROST
TEMP............56     46     42     39     36     34
RH..............38     58     66     73     79     87
20 FT WIND......W 5    W 2    W 2    W 2    SW 2   W 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10     5      5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....4000   900    300    300    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND..W 9    W 7    W 3    W 3    W 3    W 5
LVORI...........4      4      4      4      4      4
DISPERSION INDX.44     3      2      2      2      2

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 13 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900-3200 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 17 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....55.

$$
FORECASTER...SHASHY
REQUESTED BY...PETER MYERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110213.CEDAR.01/JAX