FNUS73 KDVN 141927
FWSDVN

SPOT FORECAST FOR POLE BARN PRAIRIE...PORT LOUISA NWR - USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
127 PM CST MON FEB 14 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1345 CST ON FEBRUARY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH DURING THE AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS INTO THE AREA. RETURN FLOW DEVELOPING LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY
WILL TRANSPORT MOISTURE INTO THE AREA ALONG WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES
AND POSSIBLY A CHANCE OF RAIN.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........43 AT IGNITION...MAX 45.
RH..................62 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 57 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WINDS NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 13 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........NORTHWEST BECOMING NORTH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-2200 FT AGL AT IGNITION DROPPING UNDER
                    1000 FT AGL AROUND SUNSET.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH AT IGNITION BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST 6 MPH AROUND SUNSET.

TIME (CST)      1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........CLEAR  CLEAR  MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............43     43     39
RH..............60     57     67
EYE LEVEL WIND..300/13 330/9  340/5
EYE LEVEL WIND..15     10
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 24.
RH..................MAX 88 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7
                    MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
WIND SHIFT..........WINDS SHIFTING FROM WEST TO SOUTH OR SOUTHEAST.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 3 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 3 TO
                    10 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    13 TO 14 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 43.
RH..................MIN 67 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 16 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 14 TO 23 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 20
                    TO 29 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.

$$
FORECASTER...PIERCE
REQUESTED BY...ERIK ACKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110214.POLEB.01/DVN