FNUS72 KJAX 141317
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BELMORE14...DOF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
817 AM EST MON FEB 14 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON FEBRUARY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
LINGERING DRY AIRMASS AND HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE TODAY AND
THIS WILL COMBINE WITH BREEZY WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS TO PRODUCE
RED FLAG CONDITIONS ACROSS NORTHEAST FLORIDA.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 14 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 18 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....63.

TIME (EST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........6      6      8      8
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............52     63     69     69
RH..............55     34     28     29
20 FT WIND......WNW 7  W 12   W 14   W 14
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     20     18
MIX HGT (FT)....1700   1700   3300   3200
TRANSPORT WIND..W 15   W 15   W 18   W 17
DISPERSION INDX.33     32     62     58

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 8 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 6 TO
                    7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........8      15     15     15     25     26
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............62     53     50     47     45     43
RH..............42     62     74     81     87     93
20 FT WIND......W 9    W 6    W 6    W 5    W 3    NW 3
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10     10            5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....3200   1000   400    400    300    400
TRANSPORT WIND..W 17   W 15   W 8    W 8    W 6    N 7
LVORI...........6      6      6      6      6      6
DISPERSION INDX.58     7      4      4      3      3

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 13 MPH IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 14 TO 17 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-3600 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH AROUND 7 MPH INCREASING TO EAST 17 TO 24
                    MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....63.

$$
FORECASTER...SHASHY
REQUESTED BY...KEVIN MACEWEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110214.BELMO.01/JAX