FNUS72 KJAX 141324
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CEDAR CREEK...USFS OSCEOLA NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
824 AM EST MON FEB 14 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EST ON FEBRUARY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
LINGERING DRY AIRMASS AND HIGH PRESSURE SOUTH OF THE AREA WILL
REMAIN IN PLACE TODAY AND THIS WILL COMBINE WITH BREEZY WEST
TO SOUTHWEST WINDS TO PRODUCE RED FLAG CONDITIONS ACROSS
NORTHEAST FLORIDA.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 12 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 20 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....55.

TIME (EST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........5      8      10     10     10
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............42     58     67     70     67
RH..............78     44     29     28     34
20 FT WIND......W 5    W 10   W 13   W 15   W 12
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     20     20     15
MIX HGT (FT)....700    1700   3300   3300   3200
TRANSPORT WIND..W 13   W 16   W 20   W 20   W 18
DISPERSION INDX.13     35     66     49     61

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 14 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 5 TO 8
                    MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........8      18     18     18     28     28
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............62     53     49     46     44     41
RH..............43     66     80     86     90     95
20 FT WIND......W 9    W 6    W 5    W 3    W 2    NW 3
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10     10     5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....3200   1000   400    400    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND..W 18   W 14   W 8    W 8    NW 5   N 7
LVORI...........6      6      6      6      6      6
DISPERSION INDX.61     6      4      4      2      3

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 14 MPH IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE EAST 13 TO
                    16 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-3600 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH AROUND 7 MPH INCREASING TO EAST 17 TO 22
                    MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....57.

$$
FORECASTER...SHASHY
REQUESTED BY...TAMMY MILTON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110214.CEDAR.01/JAX