FNUS72 KMFL 141402
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR BC-SC1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
902 AM EST MON FEB 14 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

SPOT FORECAST FOR BC-SC1...SEMINOLE TRIBE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
901 AM EST MON FEB 14 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EST ON FEBRUARY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT EAST TODAY INTO THE ATLANTIC
AND THEN BECOMING REINFORCED FROM THE NORTH ON TUESDAY. THIS WILL
ALLOW FOR A RETURN MOISTURE FLOW FROM THE NORTHEAST. HOWEVER, DUE
TO THE PROXIMITY OF THE SURFACE RIDGE THIS PROCESS WILL BE SLOW
AND THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW 35 PERCENT
ACROSS THE NORTHWEST INTERIOR ZONES. WITH THE FIRE SITE IN EXTREME
SOUTHEAST HENDRY COUNTY, THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY NOT QUITE DROP
BELOW THIS LEVEL BUT WILL LIKELY BE CLOSE TO 35 PERCENT FOR A FEW
HOURS THIS AFTERNOON. THE LIGHT TRANSPORT WIND WILL ALSO RESULT IN
POOR DISPERSION THIS MORNING BECOMING POOR TO FAIR IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....17.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM
SKY (%).........20     20     20     20     20     10
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............66     72     75     73     69     58
RH..............54     39     37     43     62     66
20 FT WIND......N 4    NE 4   NE 3   N 3    N 3    N 3
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     5      5      5      5
EYE LEVEL WIND..N 4    NE 4   NE 3   N 3    N 3    N 3
EYE LEVEL WIND..10     10     5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....2200   3000   3000   3000   3000   2200
MIXNG WIND......N 7    NE 7   NE 6   N 6    N 6    N 6
DISPERSION IDX..19     21     21     21     21     2
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 44.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 71 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3.
LVORI...............3.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-3500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....13 INCREASING TO 34.
LVORI...............3.

$$
FORECASTER...BRABANDER
REQUESTED BY...MARIA TALAMANTEZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED

$$

REQUESTED BY...MARIA TALAMANTEZ
REASON FOR REQUEST...STATE, TRIBAL OR LOCAL FIRE AGENCY WORKING IN COORDINATION WITH A
FEDERAL PARTICIPANT IN THE INTERAGENCY AGREEMENT FOR METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES.