FNUS73 KPAH 141544 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR INAGHEH UNIT 1...USFS SHAWNEE NF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 944 AM CST MON FEB 14 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON FEBRUARY 14. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TODAY. AS A RESULT... SURFACE WINDS WILL SWING AROUND TO THE NORTHWEST...THEN TO THE EAST BY LATE TONIGHT AS THE CENTER OF HIGH PRESSURE JUST TO OUR NORTH MOVES BY. AS THE WEEK GOES ON...SURFACE WINDS WILL BE BACK TO SOUTHERLY AS THE UPPER FLOW BECOMES INCREASINGLY SOUTHWESTERLY. MOISTURE AND CLOUDS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT IS FORECAST TO SWEEP THROUGH THE REGION ON FRIDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........53 AT IGNITION...MAX 55. RH..................42 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 35 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 800-2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-2900 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 17 TO 23 MPH. TIME (CST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC PC PC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............53 54 54 55 54 52 50 RH..............42 40 39 37 40 43 48 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW N N 20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 6 6 6 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 2.8 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.7 TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW N N N N N TRANSP WIND SPD.23 22 21 21 20 18 17 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 30. RH..................MAX 92 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 14 TO 16 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............46 41 38 36 34 33 RH..............58 70 76 82 85 89 20 FT WIND......N 4 N 2 NE 2 E 2 E 2 E 2 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....2500 2400 2000 1600 1500 1500 TRANSPORT WIND..N 16 N 15 NE 14 E 14 E 14 SE 14 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 53. RH..................MIN 52 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 11 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO 26 TO 31 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............32 38 48 52 RH..............92 79 58 52 20 FT WIND......SE 3G5 SE 6G15 S 8G15 S 9G20 MIX HGT (FT)....1500 1500 1500 2200 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 15 S 16 S 18 S 30 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 3 $$ FORECASTER...TREVINO REQUESTED BY...SCOTT CRIST TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110214.INAGH.01/PAH