FNUS71 KRNK 160128
FWSRNK

SPOT FORECAST FOR LUMBER PLANT FIRE...NCFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
828 PM EST TUE FEB 15 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1805 EST ON FEBRUARY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE EAST OF THE AREA TONIGHT AND REMAIN IN
CONTROL THROUGH FRIDAY.  ASIDE FROM SOME UPPER LEVEL CLOUDINESS...
THE WEATHER WILL BE FAIR AND DRY.

CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP AGAIN TOWARD THE END
OF THE WEEK.  WELL ABOVE SEASONAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED
FRIDAY...FOLLOWED BY A STRONG FRONTAL PASSAGE FRIDAY NIGHT
OR EARLY SATURDAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE AHEAD OF
THIS FRONT FRIDAY...AND REMAIN GUSTY BEHIND THE FRONT SATURDAY.
PROSPECTS FOR RAIN LOOK SLIM.

&&

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.
MAX HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 17 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 17 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.

TIME (EST)          8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............45     46     47     48     49
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................42     40     38     37     36
RH..................36     42     48     52     55
20 FT WIND..........S 5    S 4    S 3    S 2    S 3
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     10     5      5      5
EYE LEVEL WIND......S 4    S 3    S 2    S 2    S 2
EYE LVL WND GST.....10     10     5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)........1800   1800   1800   1800   1800
TRANSPORT WIND......SE 14  SE 15  S 17   S 17   S 16
CWR.................0      0      0      0      0
HAINES INDEX........4      3      3      3      3

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO
                    6 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING
                    LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE.
CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 22 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 22 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO
                    6 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING
                    LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE.

TIME (EST)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............49     46     40     33     28     26
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................33     34     41     45     49     51
RH..................62     62     49     44     40     38
20 FT WIND..........S 3    S 4    S 5    S 5    S 5    S 3
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5             10     10     10
EYE LEVEL WIND......S 2    S 3    S 4    S 4    S 4    S 2
EYE LVL WND GST.....5      5             10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)........2200   2200   2200   2200   2200   2200
TRANSPORT WIND......S 16   S 18   S 22   SW 18  SW 15  SW 16
CWR.................0      0      0      0      0      0
HAINES INDEX........3      3      4      4      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...PERRY
REQUESTED BY...STEVE WILLIAMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110214.LUMBE.01/RNK